Sport Picks
Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta Prediction & H2H Stats
Brazil
Serie B Castelão, Fortaleza 
Match Events
42'
42'
Palacios S.
42'
42'
Luiz Fernando
45'
45'
Baianinho
AI Match Summary
Fortaleza in this Serie B matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortaleza.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
63%
20%
17%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortaleza
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
63%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Fortaleza lately — more wins on the board than Ponte Preta.
- Model gives Fortaleza a 63% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fortaleza Clean Sheet 68%
Ponte Preta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fortaleza | Ponte Preta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 28 |
| Wins | 15 | 3 |
| Draws | 10 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.24 | 0.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 2.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.06 | 0.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 3, 2026 Serie B
Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta
2:0
Oct 26, 2018 Serie B
Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta
1:1
Jul 8, 2018 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza
2:0
Nov 10, 2009 Serie B
Fortaleza vs Ponte Preta
2:1
Aug 8, 2009 Serie B
Ponte Preta vs Fortaleza
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fortaleza Compare
Top Goalscorer Miritello J. B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mailton
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03
Ponte Preta Compare
Avg xG / game 0.4
Avg xA / game 0.24
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fortaleza 95 / 100
Ponte Preta 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fortaleza Ponte Preta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fortaleza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ponte Preta conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.
Fortaleza has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Fortaleza found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Fortaleza VS Ponte Preta
1.38 Goals Scored 0.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fortaleza
(Home) 27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
20 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2 Fortaleza
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Ceara
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Avai
05 Sept
Goias
0 : 1 Fortaleza
Page 1 of 7
27 Sept
Fortaleza
2 : 2 Athletic Club
13 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Ceara
09 Sept
Fortaleza
1 : 0 Avai
31 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Operario-PR
19 Aug
Fortaleza
1 : 1 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 4
Ponte Preta
(Away) 29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
20 Sept
Ponte Preta
1 : 0 CRB
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
06 Sept
Ponte Preta
0 : 2 Sao Bernardo
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Botafogo SP
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
15 Sept
Londrina
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
11 Sept
Sport Recife
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
30 Aug
America MG
2 : 0 Ponte Preta
19 Aug
Vila Nova FC
6 : 0 Ponte Preta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 30 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 43:31 | 54 |
| 2 | Novorizontino | 31 | 15 | 9 | 7 | 52:27 | 54 |
| 3 | EC Juventude | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 32:19 | 53 |
| 4 | Fortaleza | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 35:26 | 52 |
| 5 | Criciuma | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 31:27 | 50 |
| 6 | Atletico GO | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 37:27 | 49 |
| 7 | CRB | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 48 |
| 8 | Operario-PR | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 43:38 | 48 |
| 9 | Sport Recife | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 42:33 | 47 |
| 10 | Cuiaba | 30 | 10 | 13 | 7 | 30:25 | 43 |
| 11 | Goias | 31 | 12 | 6 | 13 | 30:39 | 42 |
| 12 | Sao Bernardo | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 40:31 | 42 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 31 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 37:35 | 42 |
| 14 | Nautico | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 38:37 | 41 |
| 15 | Ceara | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33:39 | 36 |
| 16 | Botafogo SP | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34:36 | 35 |
| 17 | Avai | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 30:41 | 30 |
| 18 | Londrina | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 39:43 | 28 |
| 19 | America MG | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 21:50 | 17 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 30 | 3 | 4 | 23 | 17:64 | 13 |
Promotion - Serie A Betano 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C 2027 (First stage)
