Sport Picks
Fortaleza vs Sport Recife
Brazil
Copa do Nordeste Castelão, Fortaleza 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Sport Recife advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Fortaleza come out ahead of Sport Recife on wins alone.
- 70% — that's where the model lands on Fortaleza taking it.
- Fortaleza have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Fortaleza, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- These two have met 5 times recently and Fortaleza have taken 4 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fortaleza | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 13 |
| Draws | 6 | 10 |
| Losses | 8 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fortaleza Compare
Sport Recife Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fortaleza found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Sport Recife's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Fortaleza has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.