Sport Picks
Fortaleza vs Vila Nova FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Serie B Castelão, Fortaleza 
AI Match Summary
Fortaleza host Vila Nova FC in the Serie B. This one's hard to separate. Vila Nova FC have shipped 1.03 goals a game lately, while Fortaleza have conceded 0.97 and scored 1.19. Past meetings favor Fortaleza slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 22, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.25, favoring Fortaleza. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Vila Nova FC have won more games recently than Fortaleza.
- Fortaleza are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fortaleza | Vila Nova FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 11 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.19 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fortaleza found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).
Fortaleza has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Vila Nova FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fortaleza
(Home)Vila Nova FC
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Novorizontino | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 64:31 | 67 |
| 2 | EC Juventude | 36 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 47:25 | 65 |
| 3 | Vila Nova FC | 36 | 18 | 9 | 9 | 52:38 | 63 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 38:30 | 62 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | 36 | 16 | 14 | 6 | 43:31 | 62 |
| 6 | CRB | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 54:51 | 55 |
| 7 | Goias | 36 | 16 | 7 | 13 | 38:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Sport Recife | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 48:39 | 55 |
| 9 | Atletico GO | 36 | 14 | 13 | 9 | 42:33 | 55 |
| 10 | Sao Bernardo | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 51:40 | 52 |
| 11 | Operario-PR | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 46:48 | 51 |
| 12 | Botafogo SP | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 41:39 | 48 |
| 13 | Cuiaba | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 33:30 | 47 |
| 14 | Athletic Club | 36 | 11 | 14 | 11 | 42:41 | 47 |
| 15 | Nautico | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 40:46 | 46 |
| 16 | Ceara | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 38:46 | 43 |
| 17 | Avai | 36 | 10 | 7 | 19 | 33:46 | 37 |
| 18 | Londrina | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 45:54 | 32 |
| 19 | America MG | 36 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 26:55 | 26 |
| 20 | Ponte Preta | 36 | 3 | 6 | 27 | 21:78 | 15 |
