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Fortaleza W vs Ariquemes W

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Brasileiro A2 Women 2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza W play Ariquemes W in the Brasileiro A2 Women 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fortaleza W averaged 5.34 goals scored and 0.53 conceded. Ariquemes W averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.23 conceded. In past meetings, Fortaleza W won 1, Ariquemes W won 1, and they drew 1. Their last match on Aug 13, 2022 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.10 for Fortaleza W and 1.00 for Ariquemes W. This points to a Fortaleza W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Fortaleza W
23%
Draws
30%
Ariquemes W
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Fortaleza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Fortaleza W picked up more points recently compared to Ariquemes W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.10 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 77%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 23%
Ariquemes W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 69%
Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza W Ariquemes W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 20 12
Draws 8 3
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 5.34 1.2
Goals Conceded 0.53 2.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 13, 2022 Brasileiro A2 Women
Ariquemes W vs Fortaleza W
0:0
Aug 6, 2022 Brasileiro A2 Women
Fortaleza W vs Ariquemes W
0:1
Nov 7, 2020 Brasileiro A2 Women
Fortaleza W vs Ariquemes W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Ariquemes W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kesia Sena
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza W 47 / 100
Ariquemes W 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza W Ariquemes W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fortaleza W or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fortaleza W attacking → ← attacking Ariquemes W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortaleza W scored in 81% of their last 32 games.

Ariquemes W let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Fortaleza W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Ariquemes W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

68 Points in last 5 39
3.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00