Sport Picks
Fortaleza W vs Ind. Medellin W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Liga Women Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá 
Match Events
69'
69'
Alvarez S.
72'
72'
Sub
Olivares L. In: Arcila A.
Out: Olivares L.
72'
72'
Sub
Doria Y. In: Arias K.
Out: Doria Y.
AI Match Summary
The Liga Women game between Fortaleza W and Ind. Medellin W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortaleza W.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortaleza W
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fortaleza W haven't matched Ind. Medellin W's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Fortaleza W's way, sitting at 80%.
- Regular Liga Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Ind. Medellin W here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 68%
Ind. Medellin W Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fortaleza W | Ind. Medellin W |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 6 |
| Losses | 15 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.77 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.94 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 31, 2026 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Ind. Medellin W
1:0
Mar 2, 2025 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Ind. Medellin W
1:5
Mar 19, 2022 Liga Women
Ind. Medellin W vs Fortaleza W
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fortaleza W Compare
Top Goalscorer Santana D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47
Ind. Medellin W Compare
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fortaleza W 86 / 100
Ind. Medellin W 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fortaleza W Ind. Medellin W
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fortaleza W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.
Ind. Medellin W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Fortaleza W remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Ind. Medellin W's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.
Scoring Trends
Fortaleza W VS Ind. Medellin W
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Fortaleza W
(Home) 20 Aug
Indep. Santa Fe W
4 : 4 Fortaleza W
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
27 Jul
Inter Bogotá W
1 : 0 Fortaleza W
29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1 Bucaramanga W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0 Fortaleza W
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1 Bucaramanga W
15 May
Fortaleza W
0 : 3 Millonarios W
03 May
Fortaleza W
0 : 2 Inter Bogotá W
03 Apr
Fortaleza W
0 : 1 America de Cali W
Page 1 of 3
Ind. Medellin W
(Away) 20 Aug
Ind. Medellin W
0 : 3 America de Cali W
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
24 Jul
Ind. Medellin W
1 : 3 Atl. Nacional W
04 Jun
Millonarios W
3 : 1 Ind. Medellin W
24 May
Ind. Medellin W
2 : 0 Orsomarso W
Page 1 of 6
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
04 Jun
Millonarios W
3 : 1 Ind. Medellin W
17 May
Indep. Santa Fe W
2 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
01 May
Atl. Nacional W
1 : 0 Ind. Medellin W
15 Apr
Junior W
3 : 2 Ind. Medellin W
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional W | 16 | 13 | 0 | 3 | 34:9 | 39 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali W | 16 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 33:10 | 38 |
| 3 | Millonarios W | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 32:8 | 35 |
| 4 | America de Cali W | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 29:8 | 35 |
| 5 | Inter Bogotá W | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 22:14 | 29 |
| 6 | Indep. Santa Fe W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 27:15 | 26 |
| 7 | Inter Palmira W | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 15:17 | 26 |
| 8 | Orsomarso W | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 22 |
| 9 | Ind. Medellin W | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 21:22 | 19 |
| 10 | Fortaleza W | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 14:23 | 17 |
| 11 | Bucaramanga W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 15:34 | 17 |
| 12 | Llaneros W | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 11:33 | 13 |
| 13 | Junior W | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 12:24 | 12 |
| 14 | Real Santander W | 16 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 4:22 | 10 |
| 15 | Once Caldas W | 16 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 7:25 | 8 |
| 16 | Dep. Pasto W | 16 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 12:28 | 7 |
Promotion - Liga Women (Promotion Group)
