Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortaleza W vs Junior W

Colombia Colombia

Liga Women 2025 Estadio Metropolitano de Techo, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Agudelo S.
61'
Sub
Arroyo S. In: De la Hoz D.
Out: Arroyo S.
62'
Sub
Cardona M. In: Morales M.
Out: Cardona M.

AI Match Summary

Fortaleza W in this Liga Women 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fortaleza W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Fortaleza W
35%
Draws
13%
Junior W
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortaleza W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fortaleza W lately — more wins on the board than Junior W.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Fortaleza W taking it.
  • Regular Liga Women 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Fortaleza W Clean Sheet 19%
Junior W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortaleza W Junior W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 4
Draws 9 11
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 0.83 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Liga Women
Junior W vs Fortaleza W
0:0
Jun 17, 2025 Liga Women
Fortaleza W vs Junior W
1:0
Apr 30, 2022 Liga Women
Junior W vs Fortaleza W
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortaleza W Compare

Top Goalscorer Agudelo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Junior W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortaleza W 58 / 100
Junior W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortaleza W Junior W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortaleza W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Junior W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Fortaleza W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Junior W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortaleza W VS Junior W
0.63 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortaleza W

(Home)
20 Aug
Indep. Santa Fe W
4 : 4
Fortaleza W
31 Jul
Fortaleza W
1 : 0
Ind. Medellin W
27 Jul
Inter Bogotá W
1 : 0
Fortaleza W
29 May
Fortaleza W
2 : 1
Bucaramanga W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0
Fortaleza W
Page 1 of 6

Junior W

(Away)
09 Aug
Inter Palmira W
2 : 1
Junior W
03 Aug
Junior W
0 : 1
Bucaramanga W
25 Jul
Junior W
0 : 0
Millonarios W
29 May
Orsomarso W
5 : 1
Junior W
24 May
Junior W
0 : 0
Fortaleza W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dep. Cali W 16 12 2 2 35:7 38
2 Indep. Santa Fe W 16 11 2 3 32:12 35
3 Atl. Nacional W 16 7 8 1 22:10 29
4 Ind. Medellin W 16 9 2 5 24:14 29
5 Inter Palmira W 16 8 3 5 19:18 27
6 America de Cali W 16 7 5 4 19:13 26
7 Orsomarso W 16 7 4 5 23:14 25
8 Millonarios W 16 6 6 4 25:20 24
9 Inter Bogotá W 16 6 6 4 14:9 24
10 Dep. Pasto W 16 6 5 5 21:17 23
11 Junior W 16 3 5 8 21:37 14
12 Real Santander W 16 2 7 7 9:18 13
13 Once Caldas W 16 2 6 8 12:23 12
14 Alianza W 16 3 1 12 15:37 10
15 Fortaleza W 16 2 4 10 12:37 10
16 Bucaramanga W 16 1 6 9 5:22 9
Promotion - Liga Women 2025 (Promotion Group)