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Forte Taganrog vs Kaluga

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 Forte Arena, Taganrog
Our Tip

Match Events

64'
Sub
Zaretskiy D. In: Maksimchuk A.
Out: Zaretskiy D.
64'
Sub
Khleborodov I. In: Asaydulin R.
Out: Khleborodov I.
68'
Sub
Amiraliev A. In: Ivashin A.
Out: Amiraliev A.

AI Match Summary

The FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 game between Forte Taganrog and Kaluga finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kaluga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Forte Taganrog
35%
Draws
49%
Kaluga
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kaluga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Forte Taganrog come out ahead of Kaluga on wins alone.
  • Model gives Kaluga a 49% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 19%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Forte Taganrog Clean Sheet 24%
Kaluga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forte Taganrog Kaluga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 9
Draws 6 10
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.53 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.57 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kaluga vs Forte Taganrog
2:0
Apr 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Forte Taganrog vs Kaluga
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forte Taganrog Compare

Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Kaluga Compare

Top Goalscorer Asaydulin R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forte Taganrog 25 / 100
Kaluga 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forte Taganrog Kaluga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kaluga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forte Taganrog found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Kaluga conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Forte Taganrog remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kaluga
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Forte Taganrog

(Home)
15 Jun
FC Murom
3 : 1
Forte Taganrog
07 Jun
Forte Taganrog
2 : 3
Kirov
31 May
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 2
Forte Taganrog
25 May
Kaluga
2 : 0
Forte Taganrog
21 May
Forte Taganrog
0 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
Page 1 of 6

Kaluga

(Away)
20 Sept
Sibir Novosibirsk
3 : 0
Kaluga
13 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 1
Dynamo Vladivostok
09 Sept
Kaluga
1 : 0
Ufa
05 Sept
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 1
Kaluga
30 Aug
Kaluga
1 : 1
Alania Vladikavkaz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tekstilshtik 18 12 2 4 31:14 38
2 Sibir Novosibirsk 18 11 2 5 36:16 35
3 Kirov 18 9 4 5 23:17 31
4 Dynamo Moscow 2 18 8 2 8 23:24 26
5 Kaluga 18 7 5 6 21:17 26
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 18 5 8 5 18:17 23
7 Kursk 18 5 5 8 15:24 20
8 Irtysh Omsk 18 5 5 8 13:20 20
9 FC Murom 18 4 4 10 16:30 16
10 Forte Taganrog 18 3 5 10 16:33 14
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 (Fall Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Relegation)