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Forte Taganrog vs Kursk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 Forte Arena, Taganrog
Our Tip

Match Events

2'
Kuleshin I.
9'
Mamkin I.
15' Event
Pavlov D.

AI Match Summary

Forte Taganrog in this FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forte Taganrog.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Forte Taganrog
30%
Draws
47%
Kursk
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Kursk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Forte Taganrog lately — more wins on the board than Kursk.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Forte Taganrog Clean Sheet 16%
Kursk Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forte Taganrog Kursk
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 13 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.53 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Forte Taganrog vs Kursk
3:2
Mar 8, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kursk vs Forte Taganrog
3:1
Feb 18, 2024 Club Friendly
Forte Taganrog vs Kursk
0:3
Nov 5, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Kursk vs Forte Taganrog
1:1
Sep 9, 2023 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Forte Taganrog vs Kursk
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forte Taganrog Compare

Top Goalscorer Melekestsev T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shvedyuk I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Kursk Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlov D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forte Taganrog 31 / 100
Kursk 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forte Taganrog Kursk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kursk Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Forte Taganrog scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Kursk conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Kursk has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Kursk
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Forte Taganrog

(Home)
15 Jun
FC Murom
3 : 1
Forte Taganrog
07 Jun
Forte Taganrog
2 : 3
Kirov
31 May
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 2
Forte Taganrog
25 May
Kaluga
2 : 0
Forte Taganrog
21 May
Forte Taganrog
0 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
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Kursk

(Away)
21 Sept
Kvant Obninsk
1 : 1
Kursk
12 Sept
Kursk
1 : 3
Salyut-Belgorod
05 Sept
Kursk
3 : 2
FC Oryol
29 Aug
Kursk
0 : 2
Rodina Moscow 3
25 Aug
Kursk
1 : 2
Kaluga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tekstilshtik 18 12 2 4 31:14 38
2 Sibir Novosibirsk 18 11 2 5 36:16 35
3 Kirov 18 9 4 5 23:17 31
4 Dynamo Moscow 2 18 8 2 8 23:24 26
5 Kaluga 18 7 5 6 21:17 26
6 Dynamo Vladivostok 18 5 8 5 18:17 23
7 Kursk 18 5 5 8 15:24 20
8 Irtysh Omsk 18 5 5 8 13:20 20
9 FC Murom 18 4 4 10 16:30 16
10 Forte Taganrog 18 3 5 10 16:33 14
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 (Fall Season)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver 2024/2025 (Relegation)