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Forte vs Capixaba SC

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba Vargem Alta, Vargem Alta
Forte Logo

Forte

0 - 2
FT
Capixaba SC Logo

Capixaba SC

Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Carlos
46'
Sub
Marcelinho Araxa In: Matheus Arcado
Out: Marcelinho Araxa
55'
Pereira Silva B. C.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba game between Forte and Capixaba SC finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capixaba SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Forte
30%
Draws
47%
Capixaba SC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Capixaba SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Capixaba SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 53.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Over 3.5 Goals 7%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.6%
Forte Clean Sheet 28%
Capixaba SC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forte Capixaba SC
Matches Played 21 26
Wins 7 12
Draws 8 3
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.23
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.15
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Capixaba
Forte vs Capixaba SC
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forte Compare

Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4

Capixaba SC Compare

Top Goalscorer Jeffin
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcus Paulo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forte 34 / 100
Capixaba SC 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forte Capixaba SC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Capixaba SC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Capixaba SC has conceded goals in 65% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Forte went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Capixaba SC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Forte VS Capixaba SC
0.71 Goals Scored 0.38
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
57% Over 1.5 50%
14% Over 2.5 13%
14% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Forte

(Home)
01 Mar
Vitoria ES
4 : 1
Forte
23 Feb
Forte
1 : 1
Vitoria ES
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
07 Feb
Rio Branco ES
0 : 0
Forte
05 Feb
Forte
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
Page 1 of 5

Capixaba SC

(Away)
12 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Real Noroeste
08 Feb
Desportiva Ferroviaria
0 : 1
Capixaba SC
04 Feb
Capixaba SC
0 : 2
Rio Branco ES
01 Feb
Vitoria ES
2 : 0
Capixaba SC
29 Jan
Capixaba SC
2 : 1
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria ES 9 6 2 1 14:4 20
2 Serra 9 4 2 3 10:6 14
3 Vilavelhense 9 4 1 4 8:10 13
4 Rio Branco ES 9 3 4 2 10:6 13
5 Porto Vitoria 9 3 4 2 7:5 13
6 Desportiva Ferroviaria 9 3 2 4 10:11 11
7 Real Noroeste 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
8 Forte 9 2 5 2 5:4 11
9 Capixaba SC 9 3 1 5 6:13 10
10 Rio Branco-VN 9 0 5 4 8:15 5
Promotion - Capixaba (Play Offs)
Relegation - Capixaba 2 2027 (Main)