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Forte vs GEL

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2 2025
Forte Logo

Forte

7 - 0
FT
GEL Logo

GEL

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Capixaba 2 2025 game between Forte and GEL finished 7-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forte.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Forte
35%
Draws
50%
GEL
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: GEL

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Forte carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans GEL's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Capixaba 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Forte Clean Sheet 20%
GEL Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forte GEL
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 7
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.1 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.71 2.53
Expected Goals (xG) 0.76 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2025 Capixaba 2
Forte vs GEL
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forte 20 / 100
GEL 58 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forte GEL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GEL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GEL let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 7.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Forte stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Forte's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Forte VS GEL
0.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Forte

(Home)
01 Mar
Vitoria ES
4 : 1
Forte
23 Feb
Forte
1 : 1
Vitoria ES
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
07 Feb
Rio Branco ES
0 : 0
Forte
05 Feb
Forte
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
Page 1 of 5

GEL

(Away)
29 Aug
GEL
0 : 1
Audax Sao Mateus
26 Aug
Linhares Futebol Clube
0 : 1
GEL
18 Aug
Doze Futebol Clube
1 : 2
GEL
14 Aug
GEL
6 : 0
CTE Colatina
01 Aug
Audax Sao Mateus
0 : 0
GEL
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serra 7 6 0 1 24:4 18
2 Estrela do Norte 7 5 0 2 14:4 15
3 Forte 7 3 2 2 13:4 11
4 Linhares Futebol Clube 7 3 2 2 14:8 11
5 Pinheiros 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
6 Galatas 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
7 Sport-ES 7 2 1 4 8:16 7
8 GEL 7 0 2 5 3:30 2
Promotion - Capixaba 2 2025 (Play Offs)