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Forte vs Serra

Brazil Brazil

Capixaba 2 2025
Forte Logo

Forte

0 - 1
FT
Serra Logo

Serra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Serra in this Capixaba 2 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Serra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Forte
35%
Draws
16%
Serra
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Forte

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Serra lately — more wins on the board than Forte.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Forte taking it.
  • Regular Capixaba 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Serra here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Forte Clean Sheet 18%
Serra Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forte Serra
Matches Played 21 30
Wins 7 16
Draws 8 3
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.71 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Capixaba
Forte vs Serra
2:0
Oct 11, 2025 Capixaba 2
Serra vs Forte
1:0
Aug 24, 2025 Capixaba 2
Forte vs Serra
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forte 41 / 100
Serra 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forte Serra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Serra conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Forte stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Serra registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Forte scored in 52% of their last 21 outings.

Scoring Trends

Forte VS Serra
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Forte

(Home)
01 Mar
Vitoria ES
4 : 1
Forte
23 Feb
Forte
1 : 1
Vitoria ES
12 Feb
Forte
0 : 1
Desportiva Ferroviaria
07 Feb
Rio Branco ES
0 : 0
Forte
05 Feb
Forte
0 : 0
Vitoria ES
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Serra

(Away)
06 Jun
Rio Branco ES
1 : 0
Serra
30 May
Serra
1 : 1
Porto Vitoria
24 May
Rio Branco-VN
1 : 0
Serra
20 May
Vitoria ES
3 : 2
Serra
09 May
Serra
2 : 3
Vilavelhense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Serra 7 6 0 1 24:4 18
2 Estrela do Norte 7 5 0 2 14:4 15
3 Forte 7 3 2 2 13:4 11
4 Linhares Futebol Clube 7 3 2 2 14:8 11
5 Pinheiros 7 2 2 3 8:14 8
6 Galatas 7 2 1 4 9:13 7
7 Sport-ES 7 2 1 4 8:16 7
8 GEL 7 0 2 5 3:30 2
Promotion - Capixaba 2 2025 (Play Offs)