Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortis vs Arambagh

Bangladesh Bangladesh

BFL Muktijuddho Sriti Stadium, Rajshahi
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The BFL game between Fortis and Arambagh finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Fortis
20%
Draws
19%
Arambagh
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fortis come out ahead of Arambagh on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fortis's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular BFL form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Fortis have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Fortis Clean Sheet 68%
Arambagh Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortis Arambagh
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 4
Draws 11 5
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0.57
Goals Conceded 0.77 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 BFL
Fortis vs Arambagh
0:0
Dec 16, 2025 Federation Cup
Arambagh vs Fortis
0:4
Nov 28, 2025 BFL
Arambagh vs Fortis
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortis 95 / 100
Arambagh 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortis Arambagh

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortis found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Arambagh has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Fortis went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Fortis VS Arambagh
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortis

(Home)
11 Aug
Fortis
1 : 0
Muras United
23 May
PWD Sports Club
2 : 2
Fortis
15 May
Fortis
2 : 0
Brothers U.
08 May
Fakirerpool YMC
1 : 7
Fortis
01 May
Fortis
3 : 2
Rahmatgonj MFS
Page 1 of 6

Arambagh

(Away)
23 May
Arambagh
0 : 4
Abahani Limited Dhaka
15 May
Bangladesh Police
2 : 0
Arambagh
09 May
Arambagh
0 : 2
Mohammedan
30 Apr
Brothers U.
2 : 2
Arambagh
24 Apr
Arambagh
1 : 0
Rahmatgonj MFS
Page 1 of 6