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Fortis vs Fakirerpool YMC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bangladesh Bangladesh

Federation Cup Muktijuddho Sriti Stadium, Rajshahi
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Hossen M.
39'
Hawladar R.
72' Event
Rabbani M.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fortis
30%
Draws
19%
Fakirerpool YMC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fortis

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Fakirerpool YMC haven't matched Fortis's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fortis a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Fortis have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fortis, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fortis Clean Sheet 20%
Fakirerpool YMC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortis Fakirerpool YMC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 4
Draws 10 6
Losses 4 19
Goals Scored 2.07 0.79
Goals Conceded 0.76 2.62
Expected Goals (xG) 2.56 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2026 Federation Cup
Fortis vs Fakirerpool YMC
1:1
May 8, 2026 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Fortis
1:7
Dec 20, 2025 BFL
Fortis vs Fakirerpool YMC
3:0
Apr 25, 2025 BFL
Fortis vs Fakirerpool YMC
1:1
Dec 13, 2024 BFL
Fakirerpool YMC vs Fortis
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortis Compare

Top Goalscorer Hossen M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.28

Fakirerpool YMC Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortis 85 / 100
Fakirerpool YMC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortis Fakirerpool YMC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortis Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortis scored in 86% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Fakirerpool YMC conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Fortis stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortis VS Fakirerpool YMC
2.75 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortis

(Home)
09 Oct
Brothers U.
0 : 6
Fortis
03 Oct
Fortis
3 : 3
City Club
22 Sept
Fortis
1 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
18 Sept
Fortis
6 : 0
Chattogram
11 Aug
Fortis
1 : 0
Muras United
Page 1 of 6

Fakirerpool YMC

(Away)
10 Oct
Bangladesh Police
8 : 0
Fakirerpool YMC
02 Oct
Fakirerpool YMC
0 : 1
Mohammedan
22 Sept
Fortis
1 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
18 Sept
Fakirerpool YMC
2 : 1
Dhaka Wanderers
23 May
Bashundara Kings
4 : 1
Fakirerpool YMC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Abahani Limited Dhaka 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
2 Fakirerpool YMC 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
3 Fortis 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Chattogram 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Brothers U. 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
6 Rahmatgonj MFS 1 0 1 0 0:0 1
Promotion - Federation Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bashundara Kings 1 1 0 0 5:0 3
2 Mohammedan 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
3 Bangladesh Police 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 City Club 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 PWD Sports Club 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Arambagh 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
7 Dhaka Wanderers 1 0 0 1 0:5 0
Promotion - Federation Cup (Play Offs)