Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortuna Chemnitz vs Aue II

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 game between Fortuna Chemnitz and Aue II finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortuna Chemnitz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fortuna Chemnitz
15%
Draws
34%
Aue II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Chemnitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Aue II carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Fortuna Chemnitz Clean Sheet 17%
Aue II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Chemnitz Aue II
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 14
Draws 8 11
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.2 1.5
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Aue II vs Fortuna Chemnitz
5:1
Dec 8, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Aue II
3:2
Apr 15, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Aue II vs Fortuna Chemnitz
0:2
Oct 23, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Aue II
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Chemnitz 31 / 100
Aue II 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Chemnitz Aue II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Chemnitz found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Aue II let in goals in 76% of their last 38 matches.

Aue II's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Aue II
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Chemnitz

(Home)
09 Jun
Aue II
5 : 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
05 Jun
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 5
Chemnitzer II
25 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
3 : 4
Hallescher II
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
15 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 1
Laubsdorf
Page 1 of 6

Aue II

(Away)
14 Jun
Aue II
1 : 1
Schott Jena
07 Jun
Cottbus II
1 : 2
Aue II
29 May
Aue II
1 : 3
Sandersdorf
24 May
Oberlausitz Neugersdorf
2 : 0
Aue II
16 May
Aue II
0 : 2
Chemnitzer II
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)