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Stadium Background

Fortuna Chemnitz vs Gotha

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 game between Fortuna Chemnitz and Gotha finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gotha.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fortuna Chemnitz
6%
Draws
4%
Gotha
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fortuna Chemnitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fortuna Chemnitz come out ahead of Gotha on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Fortuna Chemnitz taking it.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Fortuna Chemnitz have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Fortuna Chemnitz Clean Sheet 11%
Gotha Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Chemnitz Gotha
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 4
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.38 1.13
Goals Conceded 2.5 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Fortuna Chemnitz
1:2
Nov 17, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Gotha
1:3
Apr 28, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Gotha vs Fortuna Chemnitz
1:3
Nov 5, 2011 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Gotha
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Chemnitz 83 / 100
Gotha 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Chemnitz Gotha

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fortuna Chemnitz scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Gotha conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.25 goals as a typical output.

Gotha lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Chemnitz VS Gotha
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Chemnitz

(Home)
09 Jun
Aue II
5 : 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
05 Jun
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 5
Chemnitzer II
25 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
3 : 4
Hallescher II
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
15 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 1
Laubsdorf
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Gotha

(Away)
09 Jun
Erfurt II
5 : 2
Gotha
02 Jun
Gotha
0 : 2
Jena II
26 May
Aue II
4 : 1
Gotha
22 May
Gotha
2 : 4
Wacker Nordhausen
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wacker Nordhausen30207360:2267
2Bautzen30187566:2761
3Markranstadt301512361:2357
4Hallescher II30175864:3856
5Dresden II301412445:2254
6Jena II301351250:4244
7Heidenauer301110947:4543
8Halle301110939:4643
9Chemnitzer II309101142:4537
10Piesteritz301071343:5837
11Einheit Rudolstadt301061430:4136
12Erfurt II301031737:5333
13Aue II30951649:5032
14Fortuna Chemnitz30781536:6929
15Gotha30542129:7419
16Laubsdorf30352222:6514
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)