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Fortuna Chemnitz vs Heidenauer

Germany Germany

Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
Our Tip

Match Events

64' Event

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 game between Fortuna Chemnitz and Heidenauer finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortuna Chemnitz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Fortuna Chemnitz
15%
Draws
0%
Heidenauer
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Chemnitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Fortuna Chemnitz carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fortuna Chemnitz a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Fortuna Chemnitz Clean Sheet 20%
Heidenauer Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Chemnitz Heidenauer
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 7 2
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 25
Goals Scored 1.2 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.3 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.85 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Heidenauer
1:0
Sep 1, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Heidenauer vs Fortuna Chemnitz
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Chemnitz 85 / 100
Heidenauer 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Chemnitz Heidenauer

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Chemnitz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Chemnitz found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Heidenauer's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: Heidenauer registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Heidenauer
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.5
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Chemnitz

(Home)
09 Jun
Aue II
5 : 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
05 Jun
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 5
Chemnitzer II
25 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
3 : 4
Hallescher II
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
15 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 1
Laubsdorf
Page 1 of 6

Heidenauer

(Away)
08 Jun
Heidenauer
3 : 7
Bautzen
01 Jun
Hallescher II
3 : 0
Heidenauer
24 May
Heidenauer
1 : 3
Schott Jena
18 May
Dresden II
3 : 0
Heidenauer
10 May
Heidenauer
2 : 4
Piesteritz
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)