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Fortuna Chemnitz vs Wacker Nordhausen Prediction & H2H Stats

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Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 game between Fortuna Chemnitz and Wacker Nordhausen finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Wacker Nordhausen.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Fortuna Chemnitz
15%
Draws
28%
Wacker Nordhausen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Chemnitz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Wacker Nordhausen come out ahead of Fortuna Chemnitz on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Oberliga NOFV- Süd 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Fortuna Chemnitz Clean Sheet 16%
Wacker Nordhausen Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Chemnitz Wacker Nordhausen
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 7 15
Draws 8 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.2 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.3 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2013 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Fortuna Chemnitz vs Wacker Nordhausen
1:3
Oct 7, 2012 Oberliga NOFV- Sud
Wacker Nordhausen vs Fortuna Chemnitz
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Chemnitz 31 / 100
Wacker Nordhausen 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Chemnitz Wacker Nordhausen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Chemnitz found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 5.00 goals per match.

Wacker Nordhausen's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 36 matches.

Away concern: Wacker Nordhausen has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Wacker Nordhausen
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Chemnitz

(Home)
09 Jun
Aue II
5 : 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
05 Jun
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 5
Chemnitzer II
25 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
3 : 4
Hallescher II
18 May
Gotha
1 : 2
Fortuna Chemnitz
15 May
Fortuna Chemnitz
2 : 1
Laubsdorf
Page 1 of 6

Wacker Nordhausen

(Away)
08 Feb
Blau-Weiss Zorbau
3 : 1
Wacker Nordhausen
01 Feb
Wacker Nordhausen
3 : 0
SVG Gottingen
25 Jan
Plauen
3 : 0
Wacker Nordhausen
10 Jun
Grimma
1 : 0
Wacker Nordhausen
25 May
Wacker Nordhausen
1 : 3
An der Fahner Hohe
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wacker Nordhausen 30 20 7 3 60:22 67
2 Bautzen 30 18 7 5 66:27 61
3 Markranstadt 30 15 12 3 61:23 57
4 Hallescher II 30 17 5 8 64:38 56
5 Dresden II 30 14 12 4 45:22 54
6 Jena II 30 13 5 12 50:42 44
7 Heidenauer 30 11 10 9 47:45 43
8 Halle 30 11 10 9 39:46 43
9 Chemnitzer II 30 9 10 11 42:45 37
10 Piesteritz 30 10 7 13 43:58 37
11 Einheit Rudolstadt 30 10 6 14 30:41 36
12 Erfurt II 30 10 3 17 37:53 33
13 Aue II 30 9 5 16 49:50 32
14 Fortuna Chemnitz 30 7 8 15 36:69 29
15 Gotha 30 5 4 21 29:74 19
16 Laubsdorf 30 3 5 22 22:65 14
Promotion - Regionalliga Nordost 2013/2014 (Main)