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Stadium Background

Fortuna Koln II vs Frechen

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Mittelrhein game between Fortuna Koln II and Frechen finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortuna Koln II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Fortuna Koln II
15%
Draws
21%
Frechen
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Koln II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Frechen come out ahead of Fortuna Koln II on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fortuna Koln II's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Fortuna Koln II Clean Sheet 10%
Frechen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Koln II Frechen
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 2.23 2.19
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs Frechen
5:2
Mar 22, 2026 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs Frechen
2:1
Sep 28, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Fortuna Koln II
1:0
May 4, 2025 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Frechen vs Fortuna Koln II
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs Frechen
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Koln II 83 / 100
Frechen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Koln II Frechen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Koln II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Koln II found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (31 games).

Defensive concern: Frechen conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Fortuna Koln II went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Koln II VS Frechen
2.75 Goals Scored 2.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Koln II

(Home)
13 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
5 : 2
Frechen
06 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 1
Fortuna Koln II
30 Aug
Fortuna Koln II
3 : 2
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
07 Jun
1. FC Duren
2 : 5
Fortuna Koln II
31 May
Fortuna Koln II
6 : 1
Sportfreunde Duren
Page 1 of 7

Frechen

(Away)
20 Sept
Frechen
2 : 2
Siegburger
13 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
5 : 2
Frechen
06 Sept
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
3 : 1
Frechen
30 Aug
Frechen
4 : 0
Chlodwig Zulpich
01 Aug
FC Monheim
5 : 0
Frechen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Wegberg-Beeck 5 4 1 0 15:4 13
2 Eintracht Hohkeppel 4 3 1 0 13:2 10
3 VfL Vichttal 5 2 2 1 16:10 8
4 Merten 4 2 1 1 10:5 7
5 Lindenthal-Hohenlind 4 2 1 1 8:7 7
6 Fortuna Koln II 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
7 Chlodwig Zulpich 4 2 0 2 9:14 6
8 SpVg Porz 1919 4 1 2 1 6:6 5
9 FC Hurth 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Siegburger 4 1 2 1 8:9 5
11 Frechen 4 1 1 2 9:10 4
12 Neunkirchen-Seelscheid 5 1 1 3 7:10 4
13 1. FC Duren 5 1 1 3 7:11 4
14 Hennef 4 1 1 2 2:7 4
15 Bornheim 4 1 0 3 6:8 3
16 Konigsdorf 3 0 0 3 2:18 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2027/2028 (Main)