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Fortuna Koln II vs Glesch/Paffendorf Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024
Sun, Mar 3, 2024
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fortuna Koln II host Glesch/Paffendorf in the Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024. Fortuna Koln II are expected to control this from the start. Glesch/Paffendorf have shipped 2.76 goals a game lately, while Fortuna Koln II have conceded 1.59 and scored 2.38. Head-to-head, Fortuna Koln II have won 2 to Glesch/Paffendorf's 2, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 3, 2024, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.54 vs 1.38, favoring Fortuna Koln II. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Fortuna Koln II
15%
Draws
0%
Glesch/Paffendorf
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fortuna Koln II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fortuna Koln II come out ahead of Glesch/Paffendorf on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fortuna Koln II's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Oberliga Mittelrhein 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Fortuna Koln II Clean Sheet 17%
Glesch/Paffendorf Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Koln II Glesch/Paffendorf
Matches Played 29 17
Wins 15 0
Draws 5 3
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 2.38 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs Glesch/Paffendorf
0:0
Sep 10, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Fortuna Koln II
0:4
Jun 11, 2023 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Glesch/Paffendorf vs Fortuna Koln II
4:3
Dec 4, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs Glesch/Paffendorf
0:2
Mar 27, 2022 Oberliga Mittelrhein
Fortuna Koln II vs Glesch/Paffendorf
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Koln II 66 / 100
Glesch/Paffendorf 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Koln II Glesch/Paffendorf

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Koln II Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Koln II found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Glesch/Paffendorf's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 17 matches.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Glesch/Paffendorf's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Koln II VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Koln II

(Home)
04 Oct
Hennef
0 : 1
Fortuna Koln II
27 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
3 : 1
Siegburger
13 Sept
Fortuna Koln II
5 : 2
Frechen
06 Sept
FC Wegberg-Beeck
2 : 1
Fortuna Koln II
30 Aug
Fortuna Koln II
3 : 2
Neunkirchen-Seelscheid
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Glesch/Paffendorf

(Away)
03 Dec
Konigsdorf
4 : 1
Glesch/Paffendorf
26 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
0 : 4
Germania Teveren
19 Nov
Eintracht Hohkeppel
4 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
12 Nov
Glesch/Paffendorf
2 : 3
Hennef
05 Nov
Bonner
2 : 0
Glesch/Paffendorf
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eintracht Hohkeppel 28 20 5 3 79:22 65
2 VfL Vichttal 28 18 4 6 72:28 58
3 Bonner 28 16 8 4 54:20 56
4 Frechen 28 17 4 7 64:31 55
5 Bergisch Gladbach 28 16 4 8 46:33 52
6 Siegburger 28 11 6 11 43:40 39
7 Fortuna Koln II 28 9 9 10 44:47 36
8 Konigsdorf 28 9 9 10 41:44 36
9 Hennef 28 10 2 16 40:59 32
10 FC Hurth 28 8 8 12 30:49 32
11 SpVg Porz 1919 28 10 1 17 39:63 31
12 Bonn-Endenich 08 28 6 5 17 32:55 23
13 Schafhausen 28 6 4 18 25:63 22
14 Germania Teveren 28 5 3 20 33:89 18
15 Glesch/Paffendorf 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borussia Freialdenhoven 28 7 12 9 0:0 0
Promotion - Regionalliga West 2023/2024 (Main)