Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortuna Koln vs Schalke II

Germany Germany

Regionalliga West 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Stanilewicz A.
37' Event
Stanilewicz A.
57' Event
Bornemann T.

AI Match Summary

The Regionalliga West 2025/2026 game between Fortuna Koln and Schalke II finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortuna Koln.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Fortuna Koln
30%
Draws
35%
Schalke II
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Fortuna Koln carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Fortuna Koln's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Fortuna Koln Clean Sheet 17%
Schalke II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Koln Schalke II
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.72 2.14
Goals Conceded 1 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Regionalliga West
Fortuna Koln vs Schalke II
4:1
Oct 17, 2025 Regionalliga West
Schalke II vs Fortuna Koln
0:0
May 17, 2025 Regionalliga West
Fortuna Koln vs Schalke II
3:0
Nov 30, 2024 Regionalliga West
Schalke II vs Fortuna Koln
0:1
May 11, 2024 Regionalliga West
Fortuna Koln vs Schalke II
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortuna Koln Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanilewicz A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bornemann T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Schalke II Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Koln 41 / 100
Schalke II 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Koln Schalke II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Koln found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Schalke II has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Fortuna Koln stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Koln VS Schalke II
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 3.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Koln

(Home)
16 Sept
Fortuna Koln
0 : 2
Wehen
13 Sept
Hoffenheim II
2 : 2
Fortuna Koln
06 Sept
Fortuna Koln
0 : 0
Dusseldorf
29 Aug
Verl
1 : 2
Fortuna Koln
15 Aug
Fortuna Koln
1 : 1
Alemannia Aachen
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Schalke II

(Away)
19 Sept
Schalke II
1 : 0
Lotte
11 Sept
Rot-Weiss Oberhausen
3 : 2
Schalke II
06 Sept
Schalke II
1 : 3
Gutersloh
01 Sept
Dortmund II
3 : 1
Schalke II
29 Aug
Schalke II
4 : 1
Wiedenbruck
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortuna Koln 34 20 10 4 71:30 70
2 Rot-Weiss Oberhausen 34 19 9 6 60:40 66
3 Schalke II 34 18 7 9 77:50 61
4 Gutersloh 34 16 11 7 55:40 59
5 Dortmund II 34 16 10 8 66:50 58
6 B. Monchengladbach II 34 17 7 10 61:46 58
7 Siegen 34 14 12 8 62:43 54
8 Paderborn II 34 12 10 12 52:38 46
9 Bonner 34 12 10 12 38:42 46
10 Koln II 34 13 6 15 55:63 45
11 Lotte 34 11 12 11 45:55 45
12 Dusseldorf II 34 11 7 16 47:58 40
13 Bocholt 34 10 9 15 49:57 39
14 Bochum II 34 9 12 13 50:62 39
15 Rodinghausen 34 7 8 19 46:63 29
16 Wiedenbruck 34 7 8 19 39:65 29
17 Wuppertaler 34 5 11 18 36:70 26
18 SSVg Velbert 34 6 7 21 35:72 25
Promotion - 3. Liga (Main)