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Fortuna Regensburg vs ATSV Erlangen Prediction & H2H Stats

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Fortuna Regensburg
30%
Draws
6%
ATSV Erlangen
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Fortuna Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Fortuna Regensburg have won more games recently than ATSV Erlangen.
  • Fortuna Regensburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 16%
ATSV Erlangen Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Regensburg ATSV Erlangen
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 11 17
Goals Scored 2.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs ATSV Erlangen
2:2
Aug 29, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Fortuna Regensburg
2:0
May 2, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
ATSV Erlangen vs Fortuna Regensburg
4:5
Oct 5, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs ATSV Erlangen
5:0
Nov 18, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs ATSV Erlangen
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Regensburg 84 / 100
ATSV Erlangen 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Regensburg ATSV Erlangen

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Regensburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Regensburg scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: ATSV Erlangen conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Fortuna Regensburg has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Regensburg VS ATSV Erlangen
2.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Regensburg

(Home)
03 Oct
Fortuna Regensburg
2 : 2
Regensburg II
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
19 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 1
Stadeln
12 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
6 : 2
Grossbardorf
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
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ATSV Erlangen

(Away)
25 May
ATSV Erlangen
0 : 1
Grossbardorf
21 May
Grossbardorf
2 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
16 May
ATSV Erlangen
3 : 3
Bayern Hof
08 May
Regensburg II
3 : 2
ATSV Erlangen
25 Apr
Stadeln
1 : 0
ATSV Erlangen
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eltersdorf 32 21 2 9 55:30 65
2 Cham 32 17 8 7 58:35 59
3 ASV Neumarkt 32 18 5 9 68:50 59
4 Gebenbach 32 16 5 11 53:47 53
5 Bamberg 32 13 12 7 54:39 51
6 Weiden 32 13 11 8 57:39 50
7 Ingolstadt II 32 14 6 12 64:54 48
8 Fortuna Regensburg 32 12 9 11 66:58 45
9 Regensburg II 32 13 5 14 59:53 44
10 Bayern Hof 32 11 10 11 56:51 43
11 Neudrossenfeld 32 12 5 15 47:54 41
12 TSV Kornburg 32 9 13 10 48:50 40
13 Wurzburger FV 32 10 7 15 46:62 37
14 ATSV Erlangen 32 10 7 15 43:61 37
15 Stadeln 32 11 2 19 42:65 35
16 Coburg 32 9 3 20 44:81 30
17 Grossschwarzenlohe 32 4 8 20 35:66 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)