Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026

Coburg

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fortuna Regensburg play Coburg in the Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fortuna Regensburg averaged 1.97 goals scored and 1.83 conceded. Coburg averaged 1.33 goals scored and 2.57 conceded. In past meetings, Fortuna Regensburg won 1, Coburg won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 24, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.56 for Fortuna Regensburg and 1.75 for Coburg. This points to a Fortuna Regensburg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%

Fortuna Regensburg

21%

Draws

30%

Coburg

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Fortuna Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence

Fortuna Regensburg picked up more points recently compared to Coburg.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.56 vs 1.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 97%

Over 2.5 Goals 75%

Over 3.5 Goals 45%

Over 4.5 Goals 23%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 12%

Coburg Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 87%

Second Half Goal 92%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fortuna Regensburg	Coburg
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	7
Draws	9	3
Losses	11	20
Goals Scored	1.97	1.33
Goals Conceded	1.83	2.57
Expected Goals (xG)	2.25	1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Fortuna Regensburg vs Coburg

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 4 - 3

4:2

Oct 11, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Coburg vs Fortuna Regensburg

Possession: 52% - 50% Cards: 2 - 4

4:2

Feb 24, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Coburg vs Fortuna Regensburg

Possession: 46% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

3:3

Aug 18, 2023 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Fortuna Regensburg vs Coburg

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 0 - 4

2:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Regensburg 47 / 100

Coburg 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fortuna Regensburg Coburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fortuna Regensburg or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +19.6%

2.44

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.7%

1.45

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fortuna Regensburg attacking → ← attacking Coburg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Regensburg scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Coburg let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Fortuna Regensburg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Coburg lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

39 Points in last 5 24

2.25 Goals expected (xG) 1.50

2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.88

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eltersdorf	32	21	2	9	55:30	65
2	Cham	32	17	8	7	58:35	59
3	ASV Neumarkt	32	18	5	9	68:50	59
4	Gebenbach	32	16	5	11	53:47	53
5	Bamberg	32	13	12	7	54:39	51
6	Weiden	32	13	11	8	57:39	50
7	Ingolstadt II	32	14	6	12	64:54	48
8	Fortuna Regensburg	32	12	9	11	66:58	45
9	Regensburg II	32	13	5	14	59:53	44
10	Bayern Hof	32	11	10	11	56:51	43
11	Neudrossenfeld	32	12	5	15	47:54	41
12	TSV Kornburg	32	9	13	10	48:50	40
13	Wurzburger FV	32	10	7	15	46:62	37
14	ATSV Erlangen	32	10	7	15	43:61	37
15	Stadeln	32	11	2	19	42:65	35
16	Coburg	32	9	3	20	44:81	30
17	Grossschwarzenlohe	32	4	8	20	35:66	20