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Fortuna Regensburg vs Neudrossenfeld

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 game between Fortuna Regensburg and Neudrossenfeld finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortuna Regensburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Fortuna Regensburg
6%
Draws
4%
Neudrossenfeld
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fortuna Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Recent numbers put Fortuna Regensburg and Neudrossenfeld close enough that form isn't the deciding factor here.
  • Fortuna Regensburg are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
  • Fortuna Regensburg have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%
Neudrossenfeld Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Regensburg Neudrossenfeld
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 10
Draws 9 4
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 2 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Neudrossenfeld
2:1
Oct 17, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Neudrossenfeld vs Fortuna Regensburg
0:2
May 10, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Neudrossenfeld
9:2
Oct 11, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Neudrossenfeld vs Fortuna Regensburg
0:0
May 10, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Neudrossenfeld vs Fortuna Regensburg
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Regensburg 83 / 100
Neudrossenfeld 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Regensburg Neudrossenfeld

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Regensburg found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Neudrossenfeld has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Fortuna Regensburg remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Regensburg VS Neudrossenfeld
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Eltersdorf32212955:3065
2Cham32178758:3559
3ASV Neumarkt32185968:5059
4Gebenbach321651153:4753
5Bamberg321312754:3951
6Weiden321311857:3950
7Ingolstadt II321461264:5448
8Fortuna Regensburg321291166:5845
9Regensburg II321351459:5344
10Bayern Hof3211101156:5143
11Neudrossenfeld321251547:5441
12TSV Kornburg329131048:5040
13Wurzburger FV321071546:6237
14ATSV Erlangen321071543:6137
15Stadeln321121942:6535
16Coburg32932044:8130
17Grossschwarzenlohe32482035:6620