Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fortuna Regensburg vs TSV 1880 Wasserburg

Germany Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2023/2024
Sat, May 25, 2024
6 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Ungerath R.
42' Event
Barthuber M.
55' Event
Nocerino A.

AI Match Summary

Fortuna Regensburg in this Oberliga Bayern Nord 2023/2024 tie, finishing 6-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Fortuna Regensburg
28%
Draws
22%
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Fortuna Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Fortuna Regensburg lately — more wins on the board than TSV 1880 Wasserburg.
  • Win probability leans Fortuna Regensburg's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Fortuna Regensburg have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fortuna Regensburg, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 47.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 15%
TSV 1880 Wasserburg Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Regensburg TSV 1880 Wasserburg
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1
Goals Conceded 2.13 0.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 0.60

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs TSV 1880 Wasserburg
6:2
May 22, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
TSV 1880 Wasserburg vs Fortuna Regensburg
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fortuna Regensburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Nocerino A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Feuersanger D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

TSV 1880 Wasserburg Compare

Top Goalscorer Ungerath R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barthuber M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Regensburg 48 / 100
TSV 1880 Wasserburg 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Regensburg TSV 1880 Wasserburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Regensburg found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (31 games).

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

TSV 1880 Wasserburg's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Fortuna Regensburg remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Regensburg VS TSV 1880 Wasserburg
1.5 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.6
100% Over 1.5 60%
88% Over 2.5 20%
75% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Regensburg

(Home)
25 Jul
Fortuna Regensburg
0 : 1
Bamberg
21 Jul
Neudrossenfeld
1 : 0
Fortuna Regensburg
16 May
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 2
Weiden
08 May
Ingolstadt II
2 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
02 May
Fortuna Regensburg
2 : 1
Neudrossenfeld
Page 1 of 7

TSV 1880 Wasserburg

(Away)
24 Jul
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
1 : 3
Gundelfingen
25 May
FC Sturm Hauzenberg
0 : 2
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
21 May
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
2 : 0
FC Sturm Hauzenberg
25 May
Fortuna Regensburg
6 : 2
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
22 May
TSV 1880 Wasserburg
3 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Grossbardorf6
Coburg1
Nurnberg-Buch1
Wurzburger FV3
Seebach4
Garching6
TSV 1880 Wasserburg5
Fortuna Regensburg7
Kempten2
Turkspor Augsburg4
Gundelfingen4
Dachau3
Final
Grossbardorf3
Wurzburger FV5
Garching5
Fortuna Regensburg6
Turkspor Augsburg6
Gundelfingen0