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Fortuna Regensburg vs Weiden Prediction & H2H Stats

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Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 game between Fortuna Regensburg and Weiden finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fortuna Regensburg.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Fortuna Regensburg
20%
Draws
28%
Weiden
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fortuna Regensburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Fortuna Regensburg haven't matched Weiden's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Fortuna Regensburg a 52% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 10%
Weiden Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortuna Regensburg Weiden
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 11 13
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 2.06 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.74 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Fortuna Regensburg
1:2
May 16, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Weiden
4:2
Oct 31, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Fortuna Regensburg
0:0
Nov 9, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Fortuna Regensburg vs Weiden
1:2
Jul 30, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord
Weiden vs Fortuna Regensburg
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Regensburg 83 / 100
Weiden 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortuna Regensburg Weiden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortuna Regensburg Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fortuna Regensburg scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Fortuna Regensburg has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Weiden conceded in 67% of 33 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Regensburg VS Weiden
3.38 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortuna Regensburg

(Home)
25 Sept
Gebenbach
1 : 1
Fortuna Regensburg
19 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
4 : 1
Stadeln
12 Sept
Fortuna Regensburg
6 : 2
Grossbardorf
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
28 Aug
Fortuna Regensburg
3 : 3
Bayern Hof
Page 1 of 7

Weiden

(Away)
26 Sept
Regensburg II
3 : 1
Weiden
18 Sept
Weiden
1 : 3
Gebenbach
12 Sept
Stadeln
0 : 3
Weiden
04 Sept
Weiden
1 : 2
Fortuna Regensburg
29 Aug
Weiden
1 : 0
Grossbardorf
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Eltersdorf 32 21 2 9 55:30 65
2 Cham 32 17 8 7 58:35 59
3 ASV Neumarkt 32 18 5 9 68:50 59
4 Gebenbach 32 16 5 11 53:47 53
5 Bamberg 32 13 12 7 54:39 51
6 Weiden 32 13 11 8 57:39 50
7 Ingolstadt II 32 14 6 12 64:54 48
8 Fortuna Regensburg 32 12 9 11 66:58 45
9 Regensburg II 32 13 5 14 59:53 44
10 Bayern Hof 32 11 10 11 56:51 43
11 Neudrossenfeld 32 12 5 15 47:54 41
12 TSV Kornburg 32 9 13 10 48:50 40
13 Wurzburger FV 32 10 7 15 46:62 37
14 ATSV Erlangen 32 10 7 15 43:61 37
15 Stadeln 32 11 2 19 42:65 35
16 Coburg 32 9 3 20 44:81 30
17 Grossschwarzenlohe 32 4 8 20 35:66 20
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern (Main)
Promotion - Regionalliga Bayern 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 (Relegation)