Sport Picks

Germany

Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026

Weiden

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fortuna Regensburg play Weiden in the Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fortuna Regensburg averaged 1.75 goals scored and 2 conceded. Weiden averaged 1.25 goals scored and 0.63 conceded. In past meetings, Fortuna Regensburg won 1, Weiden won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 4:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.19 for Fortuna Regensburg and 1.63 for Weiden. This points to a Weiden double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Fortuna Regensburg

39%

Draws

31%

Weiden

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Weiden has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Fortuna Regensburg.
Model projects a tightly contested fixture with a 39% draw probability.
League standings and seasonal metrics in Oberliga Bayern Nord 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%

Fortuna Regensburg Clean Sheet 14%

Weiden Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fortuna Regensburg	Weiden
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	10	12
Draws	9	10
Losses	11	8
Goals Scored	1.75	1.25
Goals Conceded	2	0.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Fortuna Regensburg vs Weiden

Possession: 55% - 49% Cards: 2 - 4

4:2

Oct 31, 2025 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Weiden vs Fortuna Regensburg

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 0 - 2

0:0

Nov 9, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Fortuna Regensburg vs Weiden

Possession: 47% - 48% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Jul 30, 2024 Oberliga Bayern Nord

Weiden vs Fortuna Regensburg

Possession: 40% - 58% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortuna Regensburg 30 / 100

Weiden 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fortuna Regensburg Weiden

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortuna Regensburg scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Weiden let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Fortuna Regensburg went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Weiden lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fortuna Regensburg VS Weiden

1.75 Goals Scored 1.25

2 Goals Conceded 0.63

100% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 38%

63% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Eltersdorf	32	21	2	9	55:30	65
2	Cham	32	17	8	7	58:35	59
3	ASV Neumarkt	32	18	5	9	68:50	59
4	Gebenbach	32	16	5	11	53:47	53
5	Bamberg	32	13	12	7	54:39	51
6	Weiden	32	13	11	8	57:39	50
7	Ingolstadt II	32	14	6	12	64:54	48
8	Fortuna Regensburg	32	12	9	11	66:58	45
9	Regensburg II	32	13	5	14	59:53	44
10	Bayern Hof	32	11	10	11	56:51	43
11	Neudrossenfeld	32	12	5	15	47:54	41
12	TSV Kornburg	32	9	13	10	48:50	40
13	Wurzburger FV	32	10	7	15	46:62	37
14	ATSV Erlangen	32	10	7	15	43:61	37
15	Stadeln	32	11	2	19	42:65	35
16	Coburg	32	9	3	20	44:81	30
17	Grossschwarzenlohe	32	4	8	20	35:66	20