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Fortune vs Samger

Gambia Gambia

GFA League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this GFA League matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Fortune
35%
Draws
21%
Samger
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Fortune

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Fortune have won more games recently than Samger.
  • Fortune are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular GFA League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Fortune Clean Sheet 68%
Samger Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fortune Samger
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 11 14
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 1.1 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 GFA League
Fortune vs Samger
0:0
Feb 4, 2026 GFA League
Samger vs Fortune
1:1
May 29, 2024 GFA League
Samger vs Fortune
0:0
Dec 8, 2023 GFA League
Fortune vs Samger
1:0
Apr 18, 2023 GFA League
Fortune vs Samger
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fortune 95 / 100
Samger 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fortune Samger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fortune Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fortune went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Fortune's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Samger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Fortune VS Samger
1.25 Goals Scored 0.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fortune

(Home)
22 Jun
Fortune
1 : 0
Steve Biko
17 Jun
Fortune
1 : 0
Real Banjul
11 Jun
Falcons
1 : 2
Fortune
04 Jun
Fortune
4 : 0
BST Galaxy
25 May
Brikama United
1 : 2
Fortune
Page 1 of 6

Samger

(Away)
22 Jun
Hawks
1 : 1
Samger
17 Jun
Samger
2 : 1
Bombada
11 Jun
Hart Academy
1 : 1
Samger
05 Jun
Greater Tomorrow
1 : 1
Samger
25 May
Samger
1 : 1
Steve Biko
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Medina United 30 16 6 8 34:25 54
2 Fortune 30 14 11 5 33:21 53
3 Gambia Ports 30 12 11 7 26:18 47
4 Bombada 30 11 11 8 36:32 44
5 Brikama United 30 11 10 9 37:33 43
6 Real Banjul 30 9 14 7 30:25 41
7 BST Galaxy 30 9 12 9 29:32 39
8 Hart Academy 30 9 11 10 36:34 38
9 Team Rhino 30 9 10 11 26:29 37
10 Falcons 30 7 14 9 19:24 35
11 Dutch Lions 30 7 13 10 33:33 34
12 Greater Tomorrow 30 8 10 12 25:35 34
13 Hawks 30 7 12 11 25:31 33
14 TMT 30 7 12 11 20:29 33
15 Samger 30 6 14 10 23:27 32
16 Steve Biko 30 5 15 10 24:28 30
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - GFA League (Relegation - Play Offs)