Sport Picks
Forward Madison vs AV Alta FC Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
USL League One Breese Stevens Field, Madison, WI 
Match Events
12'
12'
Alassane M.
16'
16'
Munjoma E.
19'
19'
Carmichael K.
AI Match Summary
The USL League One game between Forward Madison and AV Alta FC finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Forward Madison.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Forward Madison
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Forward Madison carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Forward Madison's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 20%
AV Alta FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Forward Madison | AV Alta FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 9 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.83 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.21 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 19, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs AV Alta FC
3:0
May 10, 2026 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Forward Madison
2:0
Sep 7, 2025 USL League One
AV Alta FC vs Forward Madison
3:3
Aug 2, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs AV Alta FC
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Forward Madison Compare
Top Goalscorer Munjoma E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Carmichael R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
AV Alta FC Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Forward Madison 85 / 100
AV Alta FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Forward Madison AV Alta FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Forward Madison Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Away concern: AV Alta FC has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Forward Madison's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
AV Alta FC has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.75 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Forward Madison VS AV Alta FC
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Forward Madison
(Home) 26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Forward Madison
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
06 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 2 Forward Madison
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
23 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 4
AV Alta FC
(Away) 19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
06 Sept
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 One Knoxville
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
23 Aug
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 FC Naples
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
13 Sept
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
28 Aug
Charlotte Independence
5 : 0 AV Alta FC
15 Aug
New York Cosmos
1 : 0 AV Alta FC
05 Aug
FC Naples
2 : 1 AV Alta FC
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 64:40 | 57 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50:27 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:31 | 48 |
| 5 | Athletic Club Boise | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 6 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 47:39 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 37:33 | 43 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 42:36 | 38 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:37 | 36 |
| 10 | Sarasota Paradise | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37:40 | 33 |
| 11 | AV Alta FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 30:43 | 31 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 46:45 | 30 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 40:50 | 30 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 35:54 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:51 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 27:56 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
