Sport Picks
Forward Madison vs FC Naples Prediction & H2H Stats
USA
USL League One Breese Stevens Field, Madison, WI 
Match Events
28'
28'
Karamoko H.
Assist: Kanyane G.
42'
42'
Toure K.
62'
62'
Sub
Segbers M. In: Edwards A.
Out: Segbers M.
AI Match Summary
Forward Madison in this USL League One matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Forward Madison.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
41%
30%
29%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Forward Madison
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
41%
/ Low Confidence
- Forward Madison have won more games recently than FC Naples.
- Forward Madison are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 20%
FC Naples Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Forward Madison | FC Naples |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.2 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 25, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs FC Naples
3:1
Mar 28, 2026 USL League One
FC Naples vs Forward Madison
0:1
Aug 17, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs FC Naples
0:0
Mar 15, 2025 USL League One
FC Naples vs Forward Madison
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Forward Madison Compare
Top Goalscorer Karamoko H.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bolma J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
FC Naples Compare
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Forward Madison 58 / 100
FC Naples 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Forward Madison FC Naples
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Forward Madison Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Forward Madison found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).
Defensive concern: FC Naples conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 1.75 goals as a typical output.
Forward Madison has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Forward Madison VS FC Naples
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Forward Madison
(Home) 26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0 Forward Madison
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
06 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 2 Forward Madison
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1 Spokane Velocity
19 Sept
Forward Madison
3 : 0 AV Alta FC
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Sarasota Paradise
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1 One Knoxville
23 Aug
Forward Madison
1 : 1 Charlotte Independence
Page 1 of 4
FC Naples
(Away) 26 Sept
FC Naples
1 : 0 Chattanooga Red Wolves
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
05 Sept
FC Naples
0 : 2 Athletic Club Boise
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 2 FC Naples
11 Sept
One Knoxville
0 : 0 FC Naples
29 Aug
Greenville Triumph
4 : 0 FC Naples
23 Aug
AV Alta FC
1 : 2 FC Naples
15 Aug
Westchester SC
3 : 2 FC Naples
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 53:31 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 64:40 | 57 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 50:27 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:31 | 48 |
| 5 | Spokane Velocity | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 38:33 | 46 |
| 6 | Athletic Club Boise | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 44:39 | 46 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 28 | 13 | 4 | 11 | 47:40 | 43 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 42:36 | 38 |
| 9 | Corpus Christi FC | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 32:37 | 36 |
| 10 | Sarasota Paradise | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 37:40 | 33 |
| 11 | AV Alta FC | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 34:40 | 32 |
| 12 | FC Naples | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 30:43 | 31 |
| 13 | Westchester SC | 28 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 46:45 | 30 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 40:50 | 30 |
| 15 | New York Cosmos | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 35:54 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:51 | 23 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 27 | 5 | 5 | 17 | 27:56 | 20 |
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)
