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Forward Madison vs Fort Wayne

USA USA

USL League One Breese Stevens Field
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Toure K.
28' Event
Bolma J.
Assist: Carmichael R.
45'
Ricol L.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Forward Madison and Fort Wayne finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Forward Madison
22%
Draws
18%
Fort Wayne
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Forward Madison

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Forward Madison come out ahead of Fort Wayne on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Forward Madison's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 68%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forward Madison Fort Wayne
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 13 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 2.13 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Fort Wayne
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forward Madison Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolma J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Fort Wayne Compare

Top Goalscorer Becher R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forward Madison 68 / 100
Fort Wayne 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forward Madison Fort Wayne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FOR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Forward Madison remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Forward Madison's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Fort Wayne has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Forward Madison VS Fort Wayne
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1One Knoxville15103228:1333
2Union Omaha16101525:1831
3Charlotte Independence1493234:1830
4Athletic Club Boise1783625:2427
5Forward Madison1482426:1426
6AV Alta FC1767423:1925
7Fort Wayne1566321:1424
8Spokane Velocity1572617:2123
9Chattanooga Red Wolves1371523:1522
10Portland Hearts of Pine1655625:2620
11Sarasota Paradise18531017:2818
12Corpus Christi FC1646620:2618
13FC Naples17521018:2717
14Westchester SC1542923:2314
15Greenville Triumph1342714:2114
16Richmond Kickers1533912:2812
17New York Cosmos14311017:3310