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Forward Madison vs Fort Wayne

USA USA

USL League One Breese Stevens Field, Madison, WI
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Toure K.
28' Event
Bolma J.
Assist: Carmichael R.
45'
Ricol L.

AI Match Summary

The USL League One game between Forward Madison and Fort Wayne finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Forward Madison
20%
Draws
42%
Fort Wayne
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fort Wayne

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Forward Madison come out ahead of Fort Wayne on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular USL League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 18%
Fort Wayne Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forward Madison Fort Wayne
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.76 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 18, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Fort Wayne
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forward Madison Compare

Top Goalscorer Bolma J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Fort Wayne Compare

Top Goalscorer Becher R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forward Madison 32 / 100
Fort Wayne 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forward Madison Fort Wayne

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forward Madison found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Fort Wayne's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Forward Madison remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Forward Madison VS Fort Wayne
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Forward Madison

(Home)
16 Sept
Chattanooga Red Wolves
1 : 0
Forward Madison
12 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1
Sarasota Paradise
06 Sept
Corpus Christi FC
0 : 2
Forward Madison
03 Sept
Forward Madison
1 : 1
One Knoxville
29 Aug
Richmond Kickers
1 : 2
Forward Madison
Page 1 of 6

Fort Wayne

(Away)
16 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 3
One Knoxville
12 Sept
Greenville Triumph
1 : 3
Fort Wayne
05 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 4
New York Cosmos
02 Sept
Fort Wayne
2 : 0
Richmond Kickers
29 Aug
Portland Hearts of Pine
1 : 4
Fort Wayne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Omaha 27 17 4 6 48:29 55
2 Charlotte Independence 26 16 5 5 61:38 53
3 Forward Madison 26 14 6 6 47:26 48
4 One Knoxville 26 13 8 5 43:29 47
5 Athletic Club Boise 26 13 6 7 41:35 45
6 Chattanooga Red Wolves 25 13 3 9 46:37 42
7 Spokane Velocity 23 12 3 8 34:31 39
8 Fort Wayne 25 10 6 9 39:33 36
9 Corpus Christi FC 26 8 9 9 30:36 33
10 AV Alta FC 27 8 8 11 34:37 32
11 Portland Hearts of Pine 26 7 8 11 38:45 29
12 FC Naples 25 8 3 14 27:41 27
13 Sarasota Paradise 25 7 6 12 27:39 27
14 Westchester SC 26 7 5 14 44:44 26
15 Greenville Triumph 25 6 5 14 29:42 23
16 New York Cosmos 25 6 4 15 31:50 22
17 Richmond Kickers 25 5 5 15 24:51 20
Promotion - USL League One (Play Offs)