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Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League One Breese Stevens Field, Madison, WI
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Karamoko H.
Assist: Carmichael R.
11' Event
Opara L.
Assist: Vinyals N.
12' Event
Bolma J.
Assist: Carmichael R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Forward Madison
30%
Draws
41%
Spokane Velocity
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spokane Velocity

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Spokane Velocity have won more games recently than Forward Madison.
  • Model gives Forward Madison a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Spokane Velocity arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Spokane Velocity, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Forward Madison Clean Sheet 19%
Spokane Velocity Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forward Madison Spokane Velocity
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.73 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 30, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity
2:1
Sep 26, 2026 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity
0:1
Jul 2, 2026 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison
0:1
Aug 22, 2025 USL League One
Forward Madison vs Spokane Velocity
0:1
Jun 15, 2025 USL League One
Spokane Velocity vs Forward Madison
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forward Madison Compare

Top Goalscorer Karamoko H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bolma J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Spokane Velocity Compare

Top Goalscorer Opara L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forward Madison 36 / 100
Spokane Velocity 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forward Madison Spokane Velocity

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Forward Madison's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Spokane Velocity let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Forward Madison stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Forward Madison VS Spokane Velocity
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Forward Madison

(Home)
24 Oct
Forward Madison
0 : 0
Union Omaha
17 Oct
Forward Madison
2 : 0
Portland Hearts of Pine
10 Oct
Westchester SC
3 : 2
Forward Madison
03 Oct
Fort Wayne
0 : 0
Forward Madison
26 Sept
Forward Madison
0 : 1
Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6

Spokane Velocity

(Away)
24 Oct
FC Naples
1 : 0
Spokane Velocity
21 Oct
New York Cosmos
3 : 3
Spokane Velocity
18 Oct
Spokane Velocity
1 : 0
Chattanooga Red Wolves
14 Oct
Greenville Triumph
4 : 3
Spokane Velocity
11 Oct
One Knoxville
0 : 2
Spokane Velocity
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Charlotte Independence -
FC Naples -
Forward Madison 2
Spokane Velocity 1
Union Omaha 1
Chattanooga Red Wolves 2
Athletic Club Boise -
One Knoxville -
Semi-finals
TBD -
Forward Madison -
Chattanooga Red Wolves -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -