Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Forward vs Carlstad

Sweden Sweden

Division 1 - Norra 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Gustafsson K.
Own Goal
15' Event
Ibrahim J.
16'
Sub
Ibrahim J. In: Chamoun J.
Out: Ibrahim J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Division 1 - Norra 2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Forward
20%
Draws
40%
Carlstad
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Carlstad at 1.97 per game, Forward at 1.77.
  • Forward are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Division 1 - Norra 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Forward Clean Sheet 20%
Carlstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Forward Carlstad
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.77 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 6, 2019 Division 1 - Norra
Forward vs Carlstad
2:2
Apr 7, 2019 Division 1 - Norra
Carlstad vs Forward
2:0
Sep 15, 2018 Division 1 - Norra
Forward vs Carlstad
3:1
Apr 15, 2018 Division 1 - Norra
Carlstad vs Forward
1:1
Oct 8, 2016 Division 1 - Norra
Forward vs Carlstad
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Forward Compare

Top Goalscorer Ibrahim J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bell L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Carlstad Compare

Top Goalscorer Nyman C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Forward 40 / 100
Carlstad 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Forward Carlstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Forward Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Forward scored in 84% of their last 31 outings.

Carlstad has conceded goals in 87% of their last 30 outings.

Forward has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Forward VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Forward

(Home)
16 Aug
Forward
5 : 0
Syrianska
08 Aug
Orebro Syrianska
1 : 1
Forward
02 Aug
Forward
1 : 0
Nykopings
28 Jun
Ragsved
1 : 2
Forward
21 Jun
Forward
3 : 1
Fittja IF
Page 1 of 7

Carlstad

(Away)
02 Nov
Karlslund
1 : 4
Carlstad
27 Oct
Carlstad
2 : 1
Sandviken
19 Oct
Sylvia
2 : 2
Carlstad
13 Oct
Carlstad
2 : 1
Umea FC
06 Oct
Karlstad
1 : 2
Carlstad
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Akropolis 30 23 6 1 77:28 75
2 Umea FC 30 17 5 8 52:35 56
3 Linkoping City 30 15 8 7 61:31 53
4 Carlstad 30 15 8 7 56:43 53
5 Karlstad 30 15 6 9 53:35 51
6 Vasalund 30 12 10 8 64:49 46
7 Sandviken 30 12 7 11 52:47 43
8 Nykopings 30 10 8 12 45:54 38
9 Sylvia 30 11 5 14 48:65 38
10 Karlslund 30 8 11 11 45:55 35
11 Gefle 30 10 4 16 33:48 34
12 Umea FF 30 9 7 14 38:55 34
13 Sollentuna 30 8 9 13 37:42 33
14 Boden 30 8 7 15 42:60 31
15 Rynninge 30 7 4 19 46:78 25
16 Forward 30 5 5 20 36:60 20
Relegation - Division 1 - Norra 2019 (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Superettan 2020 (Main)
Promotion - Superettan 2019 (Relegation)