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Fossano vs AC Chieri

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Edera S.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Fossano and AC Chieri finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AC Chieri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fossano
15%
Draws
85%
AC Chieri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: AC Chieri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • AC Chieri's 0.86 goals per match outpaces what Fossano have produced (0.83).
  • Win probability leans AC Chieri's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors AC Chieri here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Fossano Clean Sheet 16%
AC Chieri Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fossano AC Chieri
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 6 6
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 14
Goals Scored 0.83 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs AC Chieri
0:1
Dec 15, 2024 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Fossano
1:1
Jan 25, 2023 Serie D - Group A
AC Chieri vs Fossano
2:1
Sep 21, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs AC Chieri
1:2
Apr 23, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs AC Chieri
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fossano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

AC Chieri Compare

Top Goalscorer Edera S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fossano 10 / 100
AC Chieri 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fossano AC Chieri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AC Chieri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fossano scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: AC Chieri conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

AC Chieri's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fossano VS AC Chieri
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fossano

(Home)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
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AC Chieri

(Away)
11 May
Cairese
2 : 0
AC Chieri
04 May
AC Chieri
3 : 1
Borgaro
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
AC Chieri
1 : 2
Sanremese
13 Apr
Ligorna
1 : 1
AC Chieri
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)