Sport Picks
Match Events
19'
19'
Galvagno G.
47'
47'
Lanza L.
73'
73'
Vicini G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
0%
20%
80%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Casale
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
80%
/ Very High Confidence
- Fossano have won more games recently than Casale.
- Model gives Casale a 80% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Fossano Clean Sheet 19%
Casale Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fossano | Casale |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 1 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 21 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 0.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 2.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jan 22, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Casale
1:1
Sep 17, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Fossano
1:0
Mar 27, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Casale
1:4
Nov 6, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Casale vs Fossano
2:0
May 9, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Casale
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fossano Compare
Top Goalscorer Galvagno G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Casale Compare
Top Goalscorer Lanza L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fossano 20 / 100
Casale 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fossano Casale
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Casale Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Casale has conceded goals in 97% of their last 30 outings.
Fossano scored in 62% of their last 34 games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Casale lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fossano VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Fossano
(Home) 04 May
Chisola
5 : 0 Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1 AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1 Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2 Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0 Fossano
Page 1 of 7
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1 AC Chieri
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2 Derthona FbC
30 Mar
Fossano
0 : 3 Saluzzo
09 Mar
Fossano
2 : 1 Oltrepo
16 Feb
Fossano
2 : 1 Borgaro
Page 1 of 4
Casale
(Away) 07 May
Casale
1 : 1 Asti Calcio
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1 Casale
23 Apr
Casale
2 : 2 Pinerolo
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0 Casale
06 Apr
Casale
0 : 2 Castanese
Page 1 of 6
30 Apr
Chisola
2 : 1 Casale
15 Apr
Sanremese
1 : 0 Casale
02 Apr
Bra
3 : 1 Casale
11 Mar
Fezzanese
5 : 0 Casale
26 Feb
Stresa Vergante
2 : 0 Casale
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sestri Levante | 38 | 30 | 4 | 4 | 77:29 | 94 |
| 2 | Sanremese | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 59:33 | 74 |
| 3 | Bra | 38 | 21 | 11 | 6 | 59:31 | 74 |
| 4 | Vado | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 61:40 | 69 |
| 5 | Ligorna | 38 | 17 | 15 | 6 | 50:36 | 66 |
| 6 | Legnano | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 53:35 | 60 |
| 7 | Asti Calcio | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 44:35 | 57 |
| 8 | Gozzano | 38 | 16 | 7 | 15 | 51:48 | 55 |
| 9 | Borgosesia Calcio | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 54:54 | 52 |
| 10 | PDHA | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 33:43 | 47 |
| 11 | Castellanzese | 38 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 51:55 | 46 |
| 12 | AC Chieri | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 41:45 | 45 |
| 13 | Fezzanese | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 47:58 | 45 |
| 14 | Chisola | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:53 | 43 |
| 15 | Pinerolo | 38 | 8 | 18 | 12 | 38:44 | 42 |
| 16 | Derthona FbC | 38 | 9 | 15 | 14 | 55:62 | 42 |
| 17 | Castanese | 38 | 9 | 12 | 17 | 43:57 | 39 |
| 18 | Stresa Vergante | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 37:47 | 34 |
| 19 | Casale | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 28:79 | 24 |
| 20 | Fossano | 38 | 1 | 11 | 26 | 40:80 | 14 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2022/2023 (Play Out)
