Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fossano vs Derthona FbC

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mariani E.
13' Event
Mariani E.
63' Event
Scarpa R.

AI Match Summary

Derthona FbC in this Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Derthona FbC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fossano
15%
Draws
85%
Derthona FbC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Derthona FbC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Derthona FbC have won more games recently than Fossano.
  • Win probability leans Derthona FbC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Fossano Clean Sheet 26%
Derthona FbC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fossano Derthona FbC
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 9
Losses 20 13
Goals Scored 0.83 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.80
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Derthona FbC
1:2
Dec 1, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Fossano
1:1
May 7, 2023 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Derthona FbC
3:3
Dec 21, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Fossano
5:4
Mar 30, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Derthona FbC vs Fossano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fossano Compare

Top Goalscorer Scarpa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Derthona FbC Compare

Top Goalscorer Mariani E.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.73
Avg xA / game 0.44

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fossano 10 / 100
Derthona FbC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fossano Derthona FbC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Derthona FbC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Fossano scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Derthona FbC has conceded goals in 71% of their last 34 outings.

Derthona FbC's recent record shows 1 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Derthona FbC
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fossano

(Home)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
Page 1 of 6

Derthona FbC

(Away)
20 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 0
Millesimo
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
Derthona FbC
1 : 1
Imperia Calcio
06 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 1
Derthona FbC
10 May
Derthona FbC
1 : 2
Gozzano
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)