Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fossano vs Oltrepo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Polli L.
41' Event
De Rinaldis M.
(Penalty)
71' Event
Muzio C.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Fossano and Oltrepo finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fossano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fossano
15%
Draws
85%
Oltrepo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Oltrepo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Fossano haven't matched Oltrepo's recent run of results.
  • Oltrepo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Fossano Clean Sheet 20%
Oltrepo Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fossano Oltrepo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 4 6
Losses 20 10
Goals Scored 0.83 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.85 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 9, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Oltrepo
2:1
Nov 3, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Oltrepo vs Fossano
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fossano Compare

Top Goalscorer Polli L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Muzio C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.65
Avg xA / game 0.42

Oltrepo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fossano 10 / 100
Oltrepo 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fossano Oltrepo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Oltrepo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Fossano's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Oltrepo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Oltrepo lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Oltrepo
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.5
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fossano

(Home)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
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Oltrepo

(Away)
16 Sept
Castellanzese
0 : 1
Oltrepo
06 Sept
Pro Patria
2 : 1
Oltrepo
03 May
Oltrepo
2 : 1
Brusaporto
26 Apr
Villa Valle
1 : 3
Oltrepo
19 Apr
Oltrepo
0 : 3
Sondrio
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)