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Fossano vs Varese FC Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Romero N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 game between Fossano and Varese FC finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Varese FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fossano
30%
Draws
70%
Varese FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Varese FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Varese FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Varese FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Varese FC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Fossano Clean Sheet 21%
Varese FC Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fossano Varese FC
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 6 12
Draws 4 8
Losses 20 8
Goals Scored 0.83 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Varese FC
0:1
Oct 6, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Varese FC vs Fossano
2:1
Feb 2, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Fossano vs Varese FC
0:4
Sep 26, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Varese FC vs Fossano
3:2
Mar 7, 2021 Serie D - Group A
Varese FC vs Fossano
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fossano Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Varese FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Romero N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fossano 10 / 100
Varese FC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fossano Varese FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Varese FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fossano found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Varese FC conceded in 61% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Varese FC registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Varese FC
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fossano

(Home)
04 May
Chisola
5 : 0
Fossano
27 Apr
Fossano
0 : 1
AC Chieri
17 Apr
NovaRomentin
3 : 1
Fossano
13 Apr
Fossano
1 : 2
Derthona FbC
06 Apr
Lavagnese
1 : 0
Fossano
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Varese FC

(Away)
27 Sept
Varese FC
1 : 1
Lentigione
20 Sept
US Pontedera
0 : 3
Varese FC
16 Sept
Cittadella Vis Modena
0 : 0
Varese FC
12 Sept
Varese FC
0 : 2
Pro Sesto
06 Sept
Tropical Coriano
1 : 1
Varese FC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bra 36 24 6 6 70:24 78
2 NovaRomentin 36 21 8 7 75:27 71
3 Gozzano 36 18 11 7 52:34 65
4 Vado 36 19 8 9 51:37 65
5 Lavagnese 36 18 10 8 49:35 64
6 Varese FC 36 17 11 8 47:34 62
7 Ligorna 36 16 10 10 55:42 58
8 Chisola 36 14 8 14 43:37 50
9 Saluzzo 36 12 14 10 39:35 50
10 Sanremese 36 10 15 11 31:33 45
11 Asti Calcio 36 11 12 13 36:46 45
12 Derthona FbC 36 11 11 14 41:50 44
13 Oltrepo 36 10 10 16 38:59 40
14 Imperia Calcio 36 10 8 18 52:58 38
15 Vogherese 36 8 13 15 31:44 37
16 Cairese 36 9 10 17 32:47 37
17 AC Chieri 36 7 10 19 33:58 31
18 Borgaro 36 8 4 24 34:77 28
19 Fossano 36 7 5 24 31:63 26
20 Albenga 0 0 0 0 0:0 -1
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)