Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group F game between Fossombrone and Aquila Calcio finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aquila Calcio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Aquila Calcio's 1.4 goals per match outpaces what Fossombrone have produced (0.84).
- Aquila Calcio are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fossombrone | Aquila Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 12 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 11 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.75 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fossombrone Compare
Aquila Calcio Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Fossombrone has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Fossombrone found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (31 games).
Aquila Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fossombrone
(Home)Aquila Calcio
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vigor Senigallia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:4 | 13 |
| 2 | Aquila Calcio | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:2 | 11 |
| 3 | Teramo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 4 | Foligno | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:6 | 10 |
| 5 | Ancona | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 6 | Santegidiese | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 7 | Montecchio Gallo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:4 | 8 |
| 8 | Lanciano FC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 9 | Atletico Ascoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 7 |
| 10 | Fossombrone | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:9 | 7 |
| 11 | Recanatese | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 12 | Notaresco Calcio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 13 | Giulianova | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 4 |
| 14 | Maceratese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 15 | Sporting Trestina | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 16 | Angelana | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | 4 |
| 17 | Termoli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:5 | 4 |
| 18 | Pietralunga | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:6 | 2 |
