Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fossombrone vs Lanciano FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Verna C.
56' Event
Giometti C.
60' Event
Giometti C.

AI Match Summary

Lanciano FC in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lanciano FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fossombrone
20%
Draws
40%
Lanciano FC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Fossombrone have won more games recently than Lanciano FC.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Fossombrone Clean Sheet 13%
Lanciano FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fossombrone Lanciano FC
Matches Played 29 9
Wins 10 2
Draws 8 1
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 0.83 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.17 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs Lanciano FC
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fossombrone Compare

Top Goalscorer Giometti C.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lanciano FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Verna C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Braccia M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fossombrone 35 / 100
Lanciano FC 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fossombrone Lanciano FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lanciano FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lanciano FC conceded in 89% of 9 recent games.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Solid form: Fossombrone remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Fossombrone scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fossombrone VS Lanciano FC
1 Goals Scored 1.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fossombrone

(Home)
07 Oct
Ancona
2 : 1
Fossombrone
04 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
0 : 1
Fossombrone
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0
Fossombrone
20 Sept
Fossombrone
2 : 4
Lanciano FC
16 Sept
Sporting Trestina
0 : 1
Fossombrone
Page 1 of 6

Lanciano FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Termoli
2 : 0
Lanciano FC
27 Sept
Lanciano FC
4 : 1
Recanatese
20 Sept
Fossombrone
2 : 4
Lanciano FC
16 Sept
Lanciano FC
1 : 2
Vigor Senigallia
12 Sept
Lanciano FC
0 : 0
Sporting Trestina
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Notaresco Calcio 7 3 2 2 8:7 11
7 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 7 1 3 3 9:11 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)