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Fossombrone vs Teramo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fossombrone host Teramo in the Serie D - Group F. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Teramo have shipped 1.17 goals a game lately, while Fossombrone have conceded 1.28 and scored 0.9. Head-to-head, Fossombrone have won 1 to Teramo's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Feb 15, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.38 xG vs 2.25) point toward Teramo. The model tips Under 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fossombrone
15%
Draws
54%
Teramo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Teramo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Teramo lately — more wins on the board than Fossombrone.
  • Win probability leans Teramo's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Fossombrone Clean Sheet 10%
Teramo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fossombrone Teramo
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 19
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 0.9 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Fossombrone
2:1
Oct 12, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs Teramo
0:1
May 18, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Fossombrone
1:1
Jan 5, 2025 Serie D - Group F
Teramo vs Fossombrone
1:0
Sep 8, 2024 Serie D - Group F
Fossombrone vs Teramo
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fossombrone 22 / 100
Teramo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fossombrone Teramo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Teramo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Teramo has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Fossombrone has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Fossombrone's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Fossombrone VS Teramo
1 Goals Scored 2.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fossombrone

(Home)
18 Oct
Ancona
2 : 3
Fossombrone
11 Oct
Fossombrone
1 : 2
Termoli
07 Oct
Ancona
2 : 1
Fossombrone
04 Oct
Atletico Ascoli
0 : 1
Fossombrone
27 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
0 : 0
Fossombrone
Page 1 of 6

Teramo

(Away)
18 Oct
Teramo
1 : 0
Termoli
11 Oct
Sporting Trestina
0 : 2
Teramo
07 Oct
Unipomezia
3 : 4
Teramo
04 Oct
Teramo
6 : 4
Vigor Senigallia
27 Sept
Aquila Calcio
2 : 0
Teramo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 8 6 2 0 17:5 20
2 Teramo 8 6 1 1 20:11 19
3 Vigor Senigallia 8 5 1 2 17:12 16
4 Foligno 8 5 1 2 9:7 16
5 Notaresco Calcio 8 4 2 2 13:9 14
6 Ancona 8 4 2 2 12:8 14
7 Atletico Ascoli 8 4 1 3 13:10 13
8 Fossombrone 8 4 1 3 10:13 13
9 Montecchio Gallo 8 3 2 3 9:9 11
10 Giulianova 8 3 1 4 11:11 10
11 Lanciano FC 8 3 1 4 14:15 10
12 Termoli 8 3 1 4 6:7 10
13 Santegidiese 8 2 2 4 7:11 8
14 Pietralunga 8 2 2 4 5:9 8
15 Maceratese 8 2 1 5 9:16 7
16 Recanatese 8 1 3 4 11:14 6
17 Angelana 8 1 1 6 5:12 4
18 Sporting Trestina 8 1 1 6 4:13 4
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)