Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fountain Gate vs Azam

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Kwaraa Stadium, Babati
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Mkami H.
36' Event
Ngita J.
Assist: Mkami H.
45'
Salum F.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Fountain Gate and Azam finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Azam.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Fountain Gate
15%
Draws
59%
Azam
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Azam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Azam come out ahead of Fountain Gate on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Azam here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 14%
Azam Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fountain Gate Azam
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 9 18
Draws 6 7
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 0.89 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.52
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Azam
0:2
Apr 12, 2026 Federation Cup
Azam vs Fountain Gate
4:0
Jan 20, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Fountain Gate
0:0
Jun 22, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Azam
2:3
Dec 17, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Azam vs Fountain Gate
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fountain Gate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Azam Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngita J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kitambala J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fountain Gate 31 / 100
Azam 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fountain Gate Azam

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Fountain Gate scored in 54% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Azam conceded in 24% of 29 recent games.

Fountain Gate went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fountain Gate VS Azam
1 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fountain Gate

(Home)
30 Jun
Fountain Gate
4 : 3
Singida Black Stars
27 Jun
Namungo
0 : 0
Fountain Gate
24 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 1
Mashujaa
18 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
12 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Azam
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Azam

(Away)
04 Jul
Simba
1 : 0
Azam
30 Jun
Azam
2 : 0
Dodoma Jiji
27 Jun
Coastal Union
0 : 2
Azam
24 Jun
Young Africans
3 : 0
Azam
21 Jun
Azam
3 : 2
Young Africans
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)