Sport Picks
Fountain Gate vs Polisi Tanzania Prediction & H2H Stats
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 
Match Events
13'
13'
Wawa S.
Assist: Batambuze S.
58'
58'
Kibabage N.
Assist: Gyan N.
90'
90'
Tambwe A.
Assist: Rodrigo Figueiredo
AI Match Summary
The Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 game between Fountain Gate and Polisi Tanzania finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fountain Gate.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
26%
15%
59%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Polisi Tanzania
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Fountain Gate haven't matched Polisi Tanzania's recent run of results.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Polisi Tanzania taking it.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 11%
Polisi Tanzania Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fountain Gate | Polisi Tanzania |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 6 |
| Losses | 18 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 0.82 | 1.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.64 | 1.6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 7, 2023 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Polisi Tanzania
3:0
Nov 6, 2022 Ligi Kuu Bara
Polisi Tanzania vs Fountain Gate
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fountain Gate Compare
Top Goalscorer Wawa S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kibabage N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41
Polisi Tanzania Compare
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fountain Gate 22 / 100
Polisi Tanzania 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fountain Gate Polisi Tanzania
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Polisi Tanzania Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Polisi Tanzania conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Fountain Gate scored in 45% of their last 33 games.
Solid form: Fountain Gate remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Fountain Gate VS Polisi Tanzania
0.75 Goals Scored 2.13
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Fountain Gate
(Home) 13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1 Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0 Fountain Gate
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 7
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2 Mbeya City
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0 Mashujaa
30 Jun
Fountain Gate
4 : 3 Singida Black Stars
24 Jun
Fountain Gate
0 : 1 Mashujaa
Page 1 of 4
Polisi Tanzania
(Away) 12 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 Mbeya City
06 Sept
Polisi Tanzania
1 : 2 Coastal Union
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
20 Aug
Polisi Tanzania
2 : 0 JKT Tanzania
Page 1 of 6
29 Aug
Singida Black Stars
4 : 2 Polisi Tanzania
25 Aug
Dodoma Jiji
0 : 1 Polisi Tanzania
16 Jul
Tanzania Prisons
1 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
28 Jun
Mbeya Kwanza
0 : 4 Polisi Tanzania
09 Jun
Azam
8 : 0 Polisi Tanzania
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 30 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 61:18 | 78 |
| 2 | Simba | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 75:17 | 73 |
| 3 | Azam | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 55:29 | 59 |
| 4 | Fountain Gate | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 35:26 | 55 |
| 5 | Namungo | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 29:33 | 40 |
| 6 | Singida Black Stars | 30 | 12 | 3 | 15 | 31:32 | 39 |
| 7 | Geita Gold | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 35:44 | 37 |
| 8 | Tanzania Prisons | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 29:38 | 37 |
| 9 | Dodoma Jiji | 30 | 11 | 4 | 15 | 26:37 | 37 |
| 10 | Mtibwa Sugar | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34:45 | 35 |
| 11 | Kagera Sugar | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 23:36 | 35 |
| 12 | Coastal Union | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | 25:35 | 33 |
| 13 | Kinondoni MC | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 25:31 | 32 |
| 14 | Mbeya City | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 34:44 | 31 |
| 15 | Polisi Tanzania | 30 | 6 | 7 | 17 | 25:54 | 25 |
| 16 | Ruvu Shooting | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 19:42 | 20 |
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2023/2024 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2022/2023 (Relegation)
