Sport Picks
Fountain Gate vs Simba - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Tanzania
Ligi Kuu Bara Kwaraa Stadium, Babati 
AI Match Summary
Fountain Gate host Simba in the Ligi Kuu Bara. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Fountain Gate at 0.83 goals for, 1.69 against; Simba at 2.17 for, 0.4 against. Head-to-head, Fountain Gate have won 0 to Simba's 4, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 15, 2026, ending 0:3. xG projections (0.44 - 1.69) back Simba to edge this. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Simba lately — more wins on the board than Fountain Gate.
- Simba are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Ligi Kuu Bara form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Simba here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fountain Gate | Simba |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 7 | 26 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 16 | 1 |
| Goals Scored | 0.83 | 2.17 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.69 | 0.4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.44 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.
Fountain Gate found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).
Simba has conceded goals in 37% of their last 30 outings.
Solid form: Fountain Gate remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fountain Gate
(Home)Simba
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Simba | 8 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 19:4 | 24 |
| 2 | Young Africans | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 17:4 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 13:7 | 17 |
| 4 | Mashujaa | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 9:13 | 12 |
| 5 | Singida Black Stars | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 14:11 | 11 |
| 6 | Dodoma Jiji | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Polisi Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 8 | Mbeya City | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 9 | JKT Tanzania | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | 10 |
| 10 | Coastal Union | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | 10 |
| 11 | Namungo | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 7:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Geita Gold | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 7 |
| 13 | TRA United | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | 6 |
| 14 | Kagera Sugar | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 8:15 | 5 |
| 15 | Pamba | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:13 | 4 |
| 16 | Fountain Gate | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | 4 |
