Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fountain Gate vs Young Africans

Tanzania Tanzania

Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 Kwaraa Stadium, Babati
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Kilusomo M.
26'
Mwamnyeto B.
52' Event
Zouzoua P.

AI Match Summary

The Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 game between Fountain Gate and Young Africans finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Young Africans.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Fountain Gate
20%
Draws
61%
Young Africans
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Young Africans

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Young Africans come out ahead of Fountain Gate on wins alone.
  • Model gives Young Africans a 61% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Young Africans have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Fountain Gate Clean Sheet 10%
Young Africans Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fountain Gate Young Africans
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 9 25
Draws 6 5
Losses 17 2
Goals Scored 0.81 2.16
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.44
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Young Africans
0:2
Jun 18, 2026 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Young Africans
0:2
Dec 4, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Fountain Gate
2:0
Apr 21, 2025 Ligi Kuu Bara
Fountain Gate vs Young Africans
0:4
Dec 29, 2024 Ligi Kuu Bara
Young Africans vs Fountain Gate
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fountain Gate Compare

Avg xG / game 0.34
Avg xA / game 0.22

Young Africans Compare

Top Goalscorer Zouzoua P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aurelio L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.99
Avg xA / game 1.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fountain Gate 10 / 100
Young Africans 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fountain Gate Young Africans

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Young Africans Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Fountain Gate's goal record stands at 47% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Young Africans let in goals in 28% of their last 32 matches.

Fountain Gate went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fountain Gate VS Young Africans
0.63 Goals Scored 2.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.25
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fountain Gate

(Home)
13 Sept
Kagera Sugar
1 : 1
Fountain Gate
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Mbeya City
25 Aug
Namungo
1 : 0
Fountain Gate
18 Aug
Fountain Gate
1 : 0
Mashujaa
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Young Africans

(Away)
15 Sept
Young Africans
1 : 0
Geita Gold
12 Sept
Young Africans
2 : 1
Gaborone Utd
05 Sept
Gaborone Utd
1 : 1
Young Africans
31 Aug
Fountain Gate
0 : 2
Young Africans
28 Aug
Young Africans
2 : 0
Pamba
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Young Africans 30 23 6 1 71:9 75
2 Simba 30 22 7 1 54:11 73
3 Azam 30 18 10 2 46:12 64
4 Singida Black Stars 30 15 5 10 47:35 50
5 TRA United 30 11 10 9 33:28 43
6 JKT Tanzania 30 10 12 8 30:33 42
7 Pamba 30 9 9 12 32:35 36
8 Coastal Union 30 9 9 12 31:37 36
9 Dodoma Jiji 30 8 11 11 25:36 35
10 Namungo 30 7 13 10 25:32 34
11 Mashujaa 30 7 12 11 15:27 33
12 Fountain Gate 30 9 6 15 25:44 33
13 Tanzania Prisons 30 9 5 16 23:41 32
14 Mbeya City 30 7 9 14 24:41 30
15 Mtibwa Sugar 30 6 9 15 25:48 27
16 Kinondoni MC 30 2 3 25 16:53 9
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligi Kuu Bara 2025/2026 (Relegation)