Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Foutoua vs Homs Al Fidaa

Syria Syria

Premier League
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Mhanna M.
31' Event
Baha'a K.
Own Goal
64' Event
Dali A.

AI Match Summary

Homs Al Fidaa in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Homs Al Fidaa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
Foutoua
15%
Draws
71%
Homs Al Fidaa
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Homs Al Fidaa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Homs Al Fidaa lately — more wins on the board than Foutoua.
  • Homs Al Fidaa are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Foutoua Clean Sheet 11%
Homs Al Fidaa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foutoua Homs Al Fidaa
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 23
Draws 3 6
Losses 18 2
Goals Scored 1.2 1.84
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.42
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2026 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Foutoua
4:0
Mar 10, 2026 Premier League
Foutoua vs Homs Al Fidaa
0:3
May 30, 2025 Premier League
Foutoua vs Homs Al Fidaa
2:1
Apr 5, 2024 Premier League
Homs Al Fidaa vs Foutoua
0:0
Dec 6, 2023 Premier League
Foutoua vs Homs Al Fidaa
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foutoua Compare

Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Homs Al Fidaa Compare

Top Goalscorer Mhanna M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dali A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foutoua 10 / 100
Homs Al Fidaa 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foutoua Homs Al Fidaa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Homs Al Fidaa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Foutoua found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Homs Al Fidaa let in goals in 39% of their last 31 matches.

Solid form: Foutoua remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Foutoua VS Homs Al Fidaa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Foutoua

(Home)
04 Jul
Damascus Al-Ahli
3 : 2
Foutoua
28 Jun
Foutoua
4 : 3
Khan Shaykhun
24 Jun
Homs Al Fidaa
4 : 0
Foutoua
19 Jun
Al Jaish
1 : 0
Foutoua
12 Jun
Foutoua
2 : 4
Al Karamah
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Homs Al Fidaa

(Away)
11 Aug
Dordoi Bishkek
1 : 2
Homs Al Fidaa
03 Jul
Khan Shaykhun
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
28 Jun
Al Jaish
0 : 3
Homs Al Fidaa
24 Jun
Homs Al Fidaa
4 : 0
Foutoua
19 Jun
Jableh
0 : 1
Homs Al Fidaa
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Al-Ittihad Aleppo 30 22 7 1 83:25 73
2 Homs Al Fidaa 30 22 6 2 55:12 72
3 Al Wahda 30 19 5 6 53:24 62
4 Al Karamah 30 17 7 6 55:30 58
5 Al Taliya 30 12 11 7 32:24 47
6 Hottin 30 13 6 11 33:37 45
7 Tishreen 30 11 11 8 42:34 44
8 Al Jaish 30 10 11 9 23:30 41
9 Damascus Al-Ahli 30 11 6 13 37:44 39
10 Horriya 30 10 5 15 30:34 35
11 Al Shorta 30 8 9 13 29:47 33
12 Foutoua 30 9 3 18 36:53 30
13 Umayya 30 5 9 16 27:44 24
14 Khan Shaykhun 30 6 5 19 26:53 23
15 Jableh 30 6 4 20 27:60 22
16 Al-Shouleh 30 4 5 21 14:51 17
Promotion - AFC Challenge League (Qualification)