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Stadium Background

Foz do Iguacu vs Athletico-PR

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Estadio do ABC, Foz do Iguaçu
Foz do Iguacu Logo

Foz do Iguacu

1 - 3
FT
Athletico-PR Logo

Athletico-PR

Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Diogo Riquelme
11' Event
Raul
22'
Daniel Oliveira
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-3. This leg finished 1-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Foz do Iguacu
35%
Draws
40%
Athletico-PR
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Athletico-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Foz do Iguacu haven't matched Athletico-PR's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Athletico-PR arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Athletico-PR, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Athletico-PR have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Foz do Iguacu Clean Sheet 20%
Athletico-PR Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Foz do Iguacu Athletico-PR
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 13 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.66 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2026 Paranaense
Foz do Iguacu vs Athletico-PR
1:3
Feb 3, 2026 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Foz do Iguacu
5:0
Jan 25, 2023 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Foz do Iguacu
3:1
Mar 23, 2019 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Foz do Iguacu
2:1
Feb 14, 2018 Paranaense
Athletico-PR vs Foz do Iguacu
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Foz do Iguacu Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Athletico-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Diogo Riquelme
1 Goals
Assists Leader Raul
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Foz do Iguacu 32 / 100
Athletico-PR 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Foz do Iguacu Athletico-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Athletico-PR conceded in 85% of 33 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Foz do Iguacu's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Foz do Iguacu went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Foz do Iguacu VS Athletico-PR
1.2 Goals Scored 1
1.2 Goals Conceded 1
80% Over 1.5 63%
40% Over 2.5 38%
40% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Foz do Iguacu

(Home)
19 Sept
Sao Joseense
1 : 1
Foz do Iguacu
13 Sept
Foz do Iguacu
2 : 2
Londrina B
05 Sept
Azuriz
2 : 0
Foz do Iguacu
29 Aug
FC Cascavel
1 : 3
Foz do Iguacu
07 Feb
Foz do Iguacu
1 : 3
Athletico-PR
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Athletico-PR

(Away)
20 Sept
Athletico-PR
2 : 1
Bahia
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Cruzeiro
3 : 1
Athletico-PR
30 Aug
Athletico-PR
3 : 3
Fluminense
24 Aug
Botafogo RJ
2 : 3
Athletico-PR
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Londrina 3
Sao Joseense 2
Foz do Iguacu 1
Athletico-PR 8
Azuriz 0
Operario-PR 4
Coritiba 3
Cianorte 0
Semi-finals
Londrina 3
Athletico-PR 2
Operario-PR 5
Coritiba 4
Final
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1