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Fraga vs Fuentes

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
San Agustin C.
(Penalty)
53' Event
Rivera Ferrer N.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 game between Fraga and Fuentes finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fraga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fraga
20%
Draws
29%
Fuentes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fraga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fraga come out ahead of Fuentes on wins alone.
  • Fraga are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Fraga have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Fraga Clean Sheet 18%
Fuentes Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fraga Fuentes
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 4
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 1.2 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Fuentes
2:0
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs Fraga
1:2
Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs Fuentes
5:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fuentes vs Fraga
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fraga Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivera Ferrer N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Fuentes Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fraga 58 / 100
Fuentes 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fraga Fuentes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fraga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Fraga scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Fuentes's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Fraga stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fraga VS Fuentes
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Fraga

(Home)
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
05 Sept
Robres
1 : 2
Fraga
11 May
Almudevar
5 : 1
Fraga
04 May
Fraga
2 : 0
Andorra CF
27 Apr
Binefar
3 : 1
Fraga
Page 1 of 6

Fuentes

(Away)
10 May
Fuentes
0 : 3
Epila
04 May
Tamarite
1 : 1
Fuentes
27 Apr
Fuentes
0 : 0
La Almunia
20 Apr
Fuentes
1 : 0
Utrillas
12 Apr
Calamocha
2 : 1
Fuentes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ebro 34 19 8 7 49:20 65
2 Huesca B 34 17 7 10 49:36 58
3 CD Cuarte 34 15 12 7 38:25 57
4 Atletico Monzon 34 16 9 9 52:35 57
5 Binefar 34 14 14 6 44:27 56
6 Zuera 34 13 10 11 38:29 49
7 Calamocha 34 11 14 9 41:37 47
8 Epila 34 12 11 11 31:30 47
9 Tamarite 34 12 10 12 41:43 46
10 Utrillas 34 10 11 13 29:39 41
11 CD Caspe 34 10 11 13 27:31 41
12 Andorra CF 34 8 16 10 34:38 40
13 Almudevar 34 9 12 13 30:36 39
14 CD Belchite 97 34 9 12 13 35:34 39
15 La Almunia 34 11 6 17 33:45 39
16 Fraga 34 9 10 15 38:53 37
17 Brea 34 9 8 17 26:43 35
18 Fuentes 34 9 5 20 20:54 32
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 17 2024/2025 (Play Offs)