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Fraga vs La Muela

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010 game between Fraga and La Muela finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Muela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Fraga
20%
Draws
23%
La Muela
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fraga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Fraga's 1.18 goals per match outpaces what La Muela have produced (1).
  • Model gives Fraga a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • La Muela have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Fraga Clean Sheet 20%
La Muela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fraga La Muela
Matches Played 40 35
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 12
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.18 1
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs La Muela
1:6
Nov 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs Fraga
4:1
Feb 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs Fraga
3:0
Oct 12, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs La Muela
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fraga 67 / 100
La Muela 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fraga La Muela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fraga Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Fraga found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (40 games).

Recent resilience: Fraga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

La Muela's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fraga VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fraga

(Home)
20 Sept
Atletico Monzon
0 : 0
Fraga
13 Sept
Fraga
3 : 1
Almudevar
05 Sept
Robres
1 : 2
Fraga
11 May
Almudevar
5 : 1
Fraga
04 May
Fraga
2 : 0
Andorra CF
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La Muela

(Away)
15 May
La Muela
1 : 0
Caudal Deportivo
08 May
Zamora
3 : 1
La Muela
01 May
La Muela
0 : 1
Leonesa
24 Apr
Guijuelo
2 : 2
La Muela
17 Apr
La Muela
1 : 3
Lemona
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teruel 38 30 4 4 88:29 94
2 La Muela 38 28 6 4 73:24 90
3 Zaragoza B 38 27 3 8 96:33 84
4 SD Ejea 38 27 3 8 104:35 84
5 Atletico Monzon 38 25 6 7 77:42 81
6 Andorra CF 38 25 4 9 79:38 79
7 Sabinanigo 38 15 7 16 53:60 52
8 CD Villanueva 38 13 9 16 63:63 48
9 Utebo FC 38 13 9 16 57:64 48
10 Valdefierro 38 14 4 20 46:63 46
11 Giner Torrero 38 13 5 20 44:78 44
12 Sarinena 38 11 10 17 36:61 43
13 UD Barbastro 38 12 5 21 41:72 41
14 CD Tauste 38 11 6 21 43:61 39
15 Atletico Calatayud 38 9 11 18 46:56 38
16 CD Mallen 38 10 5 23 37:58 35
17 CD Cuarte 38 9 8 21 40:75 35
18 Alcaniz CF 38 9 7 22 55:86 34
19 Fraga 38 10 4 24 47:87 34
20 CF Jacetano 38 8 6 24 34:74 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)