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Stadium Background

Fraga vs La Muela

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010 game between Fraga and La Muela finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward La Muela.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fraga
39%
Draws
30%
La Muela
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Fraga's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what La Muela have produced (0).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 17 2009/2010 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • La Muela have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Fraga Clean Sheet 20%
La Muela Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fraga La Muela
Matches Played 41 35
Wins 11 11
Draws 11 12
Losses 19 12
Goals Scored 1.38 0
Goals Conceded 1.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs La Muela
1:6
Nov 8, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs Fraga
4:1
Feb 22, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
La Muela vs Fraga
3:0
Oct 12, 2008 Tercera RFEF - Group 17
Fraga vs La Muela
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fraga 32 / 100
La Muela 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fraga La Muela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Fraga found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (41 games).

La Muela's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

La Muela's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fraga VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Teruel38304488:2994
2La Muela38286473:2490
3Zaragoza B38273896:3384
4SD Ejea382738104:3584
5Atletico Monzon38256777:4281
6Andorra CF38254979:3879
7Sabinanigo381571653:6052
8CD Villanueva381391663:6348
9Utebo FC381391657:6448
10Valdefierro381442046:6346
11Giner Torrero381352044:7844
12Sarinena3811101736:6143
13UD Barbastro381252141:7241
14CD Tauste381162143:6139
15Atletico Calatayud389111846:5638
16CD Mallen381052337:5835
17CD Cuarte38982140:7535
18Alcaniz CF38972255:8634
19Fraga381042447:8734
20CF Jacetano38862434:7430