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Fram vs Elverum

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 6
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Nelsinho
57' Event
Mollerhagen A.
61' Event
Johnsen E.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 6 game between Fram and Elverum finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Elverum.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Fram
20%
Draws
61%
Elverum
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Elverum

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Elverum carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Elverum's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Fram Clean Sheet 10%
Elverum Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fram Elverum
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 13 23
Draws 4 2
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 2 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Fram vs Elverum
1:3
May 14, 2026 Division 3 - Group 6
Elverum vs Fram
3:2
Sep 29, 2019 Division 2 - Group 2
Elverum vs Fram
1:2
Apr 13, 2019 Division 2 - Group 2
Fram vs Elverum
3:1
Oct 27, 2018 Division 2 - Group 1
Fram vs Elverum
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer Johnsen E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Elverum Compare

Top Goalscorer Nelsinho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mollerhagen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fram 10 / 100
Elverum 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fram Elverum

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ELV Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fram's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.

Elverum's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 33 matches.

Recent resilience: Fram stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fram VS Elverum
1.25 Goals Scored 2.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fram

(Home)
01 Aug
Fram
1 : 3
Elverum
25 Jul
Bjorkelangen
0 : 2
Fram
27 Jun
Fram
1 : 1
Drobak-Frogn
20 Jun
Sarpsborg 08 2
2 : 1
Fram
15 Jun
Fram
0 : 1
Lyn 2
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Elverum

(Away)
01 Aug
Fram
1 : 3
Elverum
25 Jul
Elverum
5 : 3
Sandefjord 2
27 Jun
Lillehammer
2 : 2
Elverum
20 Jun
Elverum
2 : 1
Oppsal
13 Jun
Orn
0 : 3
Elverum
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