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Fram vs KA Akureyri - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Iceland Iceland

Besta deild karla Laugardalsvöllur, Reykjavík
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Hrafnkelsson G.
Assist: Steingrimsson H.
18'
Sub
Arnason J. In: Pedersen J.
Out: Arnason J.
20'
Sub
Gautason K. In: Kristinsson S.
Out: Gautason K.

AI Match Summary

The Besta deild karla game between Fram and KA Akureyri finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Fram
35%
Draws
35%
KA Akureyri
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fram come out ahead of KA Akureyri on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Fram taking it.
  • Regular Besta deild karla form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Fram Clean Sheet 10%
KA Akureyri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fram KA Akureyri
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 2.48 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.14 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 30, 2026 Besta deild karla
Fram vs KA Akureyri
2:2
Jun 15, 2026 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Fram
3:4
Aug 24, 2025 Besta deild karla
KA Akureyri vs Fram
2:0
May 29, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs KA Akureyri
1:2
May 15, 2025 Icelandic Cup
KA Akureyri vs Fram
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fram Compare

Top Goalscorer McLagan K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Konradsson K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

KA Akureyri Compare

Top Goalscorer Hrafnkelsson G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Palsson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fram 40 / 100
KA Akureyri 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fram KA Akureyri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fram scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

KA Akureyri let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Solid form: Fram remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Fram VS KA Akureyri
2 Goals Scored 1.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fram

(Home)
20 Sept
Keflavik
2 : 2
Fram
15 Sept
Fram
1 : 3
Breidablik
06 Sept
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 2
Fram
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
24 Aug
Breidablik
3 : 4
Fram
Page 1 of 6

KA Akureyri

(Away)
19 Sept
KA Akureyri
3 : 0
Thor Akureyri
13 Sept
Hafnarfjordur
3 : 0
KA Akureyri
06 Sept
KA Akureyri
2 : 1
Breidablik
30 Aug
Fram
2 : 2
KA Akureyri
23 Aug
KA Akureyri
3 : 5
KR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vikingur Reykjavik 22 16 5 1 67:21 53
2 Fram 22 13 6 3 56:42 45
3 KR Reykjavik 22 13 5 4 74:49 44
4 Breidablik 22 8 6 8 43:41 30
5 Akranes 22 8 6 8 39:41 30
6 Keflavik 22 8 4 10 33:38 28
7 Stjarnan 22 8 4 10 42:50 28
8 Valur 22 8 3 11 39:45 27
9 Hafnarfjordur 22 4 9 9 27:39 21
10 Thor Akureyri 22 6 3 13 22:50 21
11 KA Akureyri 22 5 5 12 35:48 20
12 IBV Vestmannaeyjar 22 4 6 12 32:45 18
Promotion - Besta deild karla (Championship Group)
Relegation - Besta deild karla (Relegation Group)