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Fram vs Stjarnan

Iceland Iceland

League Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fram play Stjarnan in the League Cup. It looks like a close match. Recently, Fram averaged 2.38 goals scored and 1.97 conceded. Stjarnan averaged 2.06 goals scored and 1.94 conceded. In past meetings, Fram won 1, Stjarnan won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on May 22, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Fram and 1.88 for Stjarnan. This points to a Fram double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Fram
27%
Draws
35%
Stjarnan
Draw rate projection: 27% Favored: Fram

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Fram picked up more points recently compared to Stjarnan.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.13 vs 1.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 92%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82%
Fram Clean Sheet 10%
Stjarnan Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 83%
Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fram Stjarnan
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 13 13
Draws 7 6
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 2.38 2.06
Goals Conceded 1.97 1.94
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2026 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Fram
0:1
Feb 21, 2026 League Cup
Fram vs Stjarnan
2:3
Oct 20, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Stjarnan
1:1
Aug 6, 2025 Besta deild karla
Fram vs Stjarnan
1:1
May 10, 2025 Besta deild karla
Stjarnan vs Fram
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fram 36 / 100
Stjarnan 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fram Stjarnan

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Fram or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fram attacking → ← attacking Stjarnan

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fram scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Stjarnan let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Fram went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Stjarnan lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

46 Points in last 5 45
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Stjarnan541017:613
2Keflavik531113:1010
3Kopavogur531110:1210
4Fram520317:116
5Vestri511310:144
6Aegir50053:170
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Thor Akureyri431014:310
2Akranes42117:57
3Valur42028:76
4Afturelding42024:106
5Grotta40042:100
6Volsungur00000:00
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1KR Reykjavik531116:610
2Vikingur Reykjavik53116:310
3Njardvik52218:98
4IR Reykjavik521211:137
5KA Akureyri51135:74
6Grindavik50235:132
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Fylkir540113:512
2Throttur430111:89
3Leiknir Reykjavik52037:136
4Hafnarfjordur51138:64
5IBV Vestmannaeyjar31115:54
6Breidablik41033:103